NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	3.6 [659]		MVP	Brevin Knight (CLE): +11.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Comeback	1.0 [762]		LVP	Randy Brown (CHI): -14.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kornel David	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.03	8	80%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	9	78%	0.04	2	-0.02	9	100%	0.03
Bill Wennington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rusty LaRue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Booth	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Carr	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.03	9	59%	-0.00	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Brent Barry	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	0.04	15	56%	-0.05	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	10	27%	-0.06	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	11	68%	0.11	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	-0.01	0.07	12	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	-0.07	13	66%	0.11	4	-0.06	12	75%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	90%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	43%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	5	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	26.1	15.4	26.4	1.5	34.4	129.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +50.5%

CHI -6.5%

CHI -3.1%

CLE +3.3%

CLE +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	14.8	15.8	96.7	104.3	99.6
season	16.7	16.3		90.6	97.3
opponent	16.2	15.4		99.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.7	19.0	15.0	16.8	16.5
CLE	12.0	16.1	16.3	15.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Booth	10	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-12	17	21.4	15.9	5.47	16.7	14.5	2.15
Bill Wennington	24	24	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.19	7	-14	21	16.0	16.7	-0.76	15.6	14.5	1.14
Cory Carr	17	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-6	5	19.5	15.9	3.62	14.5	14.9	-0.38
Rusty LaRue	49	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.30	6	-13	19	17.9	14.9	2.99	15.2	14.3	0.84
Kornel David	51	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-7	7	17.1	15.9	1.21	14.3	15.3	-0.97
Mark Bryant	54	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-11	15	17.6	15.0	2.55	15.3	14.0	1.33
Brent Barry	57	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	0	-7	14.6	19.6	-5.01	14.5	15.3	-0.81
Randy Brown	62	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	4	-15	16.3	17.0	-0.71	14.4	15.5	-1.06
Dickey Simpkins	68	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.01	-21	14	-35	16.0	18.0	-1.94	14.9	14.5	0.36
Toni Kukoc	68	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.11	-17	10	-27	15.3	19.9	-4.54	14.4	15.9	-1.51

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Henderson	73	73	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.08	20	-13	33	14.5	15.9	-1.47	15.8	19.3	-3.45
Andrew DeClercq	56	56	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.08	25	-18	43	14.3	15.5	-1.13	17.0	15.8	1.22
Shawn Kemp	75	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-8	23	14.8	14.8	0.02	16.0	19.0	-3.04
Brevin Knight	74	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-5	17	14.8	14.8	-0.06	15.6	19.7	-4.12
Wesley Person	67	66	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.11	15	-8	23	14.7	14.9	-0.13	16.3	17.1	-0.83
Derek Anderson	29	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	12	-17	13.7	15.3	-1.65	17.9	15.9	2.01
Danny Ferry	27	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	16	-25	14.9	14.8	0.10	16.9	16.4	0.47
Bob Sura	16	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.11	-9	16	-25	15.4	14.6	0.79	18.5	16.0	2.46
Johnny Newman	19	19	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.22	-13	20	-33	15.9	14.5	1.47	19.3	15.8	3.45
Corie Blount	24	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.29	-16	23	-39	16.8	14.1	2.72	17.0	16.4	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 93, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIL 92, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,1,0.99,1,1	95.9%
TOR 83, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%