NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	9.9 [42]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +44.3%
Toronto Raptors	88		Comeback	3.5 [133]		LVP	Antonio Davis (IND): -32.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.14	-0.02	12	62%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.19	-0.03	0.22	0.00	9	42%	0.21	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	7	67%	0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Mullin	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	9	48%	-0.11	2	-0.04	7	29%	-0.09
Rik Smits	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.03,-0.08,-0.31	0.01	-0.33	-0.00	15	47%	-0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.14	-0.19	0.00	6	25%	-0.14	3	-0.19	4	50%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.44	0.44	0.12	0.31	-0.02	22	63%	0.48	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	14	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	39%	-0.03	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	12	38%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.25	-0.25	-0.10	-0.16	-0.01	8	25%	-0.14	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.4	27.4	15.4	23.4	2.4	27.7	118.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +6.0%

TOR +23.7%

IND -20.2%

TOR +32.3%

TOR +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	17.2	16.5	15.8	101.2	103.5	99.6
season	16.4	15.6		105.4	99.0
opponent	15.9	16.0		101.2	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	15.3	18.4	19.9	17.2
TOR	15.7	16.0	17.6	16.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	29	28	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-4	7	18.0	16.7	1.26	17.0	16.3	0.77
Mark Jackson	42	42	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-6	11	17.3	17.0	0.29	16.4	16.6	-0.18
Dale Davis	47	45	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-4	7	16.2	18.3	-2.14	16.4	16.6	-0.20
Fred Hoiberg	23	22	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.12	-3	2	-5	19.5	16.3	3.16	16.5	16.5	-0.09
Sam Perkins	31	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	2	-5	18.1	16.7	1.41	17.1	16.2	0.94
Rik Smits	50	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.57	2	-3	5	17.5	16.6	0.90	16.2	16.9	-0.61
Antonio Davis	44	44	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	3	-7	17.1	17.2	-0.05	16.5	16.6	-0.08
Reggie Miller	63	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.59	2	-3	5	16.3	19.5	-3.16	16.5	16.5	0.09
Travis Best	44	43	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.39	-6	5	-11	17.0	17.3	-0.29	16.6	16.4	0.18
Chris Mullin	57	57	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.54	-4	3	-7	16.7	18.0	-1.26	16.3	17.0	-0.77

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	29	27	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.60	4	-3	7	15.7	16.9	-1.20	14.9	18.2	-3.26
Doug Christie	60	62	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.60	3	-2	5	16.4	16.7	-0.23	17.0	17.7	-0.76
Vince Carter	73	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.54	0	1	-1	16.7	15.3	1.38	17.8	13.8	4.00
Charles Oakley	62	64	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	16.8	15.7	1.13	18.3	13.7	4.62
Dee Brown	47	47	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.42	1	0	1	16.4	16.6	-0.21	16.7	17.7	-0.92
Tracy McGrady	34	33	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.05	3	-2	5	16.2	16.7	-0.52	16.6	17.5	-0.85
John Wallace	21	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	-3	7	17.1	16.3	0.77	18.8	16.6	2.21
Reggie Slater	6	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	4	-7	14.0	16.7	-2.71	10.3	17.8	-7.49
Alvin Williams	38	39	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.04	-2	3	-5	16.6	16.5	0.06	16.6	17.6	-0.95
Kevin Willis	55	55	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.09	-6	7	-13	16.7	16.2	0.54	17.6	16.5	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.57,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.67,0.85,1	91.9%
SAS 89, GSW 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.35,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.55,0.72,1	91.6%
ATL 99, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.55,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.58,1	91.5%