NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	90		Excitement	8.4 [108]		MVP	Bimbo Coles (GSW): +39.2%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	5.7 [48]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -19.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.11	-0.00	0.11	-0.00	9	59%	0.23	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Walt Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	10	57%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.06	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,0,0,0,0.01,0.06	-0.07	0.11	-0.02	15	48%	0.11	1	-0.05	14	79%	0.09
Brian Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	47%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	11	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.03
Damon Stoudamire	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	6	21%	-0.13	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.39	0.39	0.07	0.32	-0.00	14	69%	0.43	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.09
John Starks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.23	0.23	0.01	0.22	0.01	14	57%	0.30	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.00	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	11	45%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	7	44%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	9	45%	0.04	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	23.2	15.0	29.1	2.4	43.6	138.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +46.0%

POR -12.5%

GSW +30.0%

POR -11.0%

POR -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.8	98.9	101.1	99.6
season	16.0	15.9		102.0	95.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		98.1	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.1	14.0	16.0	17.0	15.7
GSW	15.2	14.8	16.0	17.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	36	37	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.16	10	-13	23	15.3	15.9	-0.61	16.7	15.1	1.56
Jermaine O'Neal	8	9	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-8	13	14.0	15.9	-1.87	19.1	15.4	3.70
Brian Grant	64	62	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-5	7	15.7	15.7	-0.05	16.0	15.3	0.70
Isaiah Rider	56	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.12	-7	4	-11	16.1	15.0	1.14	14.7	17.4	-2.70
Stacey Augmon	35	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	0	-3	16.4	15.3	1.09	15.4	16.0	-0.52
Greg Anthony	31	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-6	9	15.0	16.0	-1.02	16.6	15.4	1.22
Damon Stoudamire	63	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	5	-13	15.5	16.2	-0.79	14.8	18.1	-3.31
Jim Jackson	45	47	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	1	-5	15.5	15.9	-0.47	15.6	15.9	-0.27
Rasheed Wallace	54	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	1	-5	15.2	16.5	-1.27	16.2	15.2	0.97
Arvydas Sabonis	63	65	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	6	-15	16.6	13.7	2.82	16.0	15.2	0.83

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	62	63	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.41	12	-9	21	15.2	17.0	-1.77	16.1	14.7	1.38
Jason Caffey	59	59	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.51	8	-5	13	15.3	16.7	-1.44	15.8	15.5	0.31
Bimbo Coles	68	68	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.50	8	-5	13	15.5	16.4	-0.87	15.6	15.9	-0.22
Donyell Marshall	49	49	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.24	13	-10	23	14.8	16.9	-2.09	16.0	15.3	0.73
Terry Cummings	44	46	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-12	27	15.9	15.7	0.18	15.8	15.6	0.20
Erick Dampier	46	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.23	-11	14	-25	16.2	15.3	0.89	16.1	15.4	0.74
Antawn Jamison	43	42	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.17	-10	13	-23	16.9	14.8	2.09	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Muggsy Bogues	24	23	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	6	-9	16.4	15.5	0.87	15.9	15.6	0.22
Chris Mills	36	35	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.02	-6	9	-15	15.6	15.9	-0.31	14.5	16.4	-1.93
Adonal Foyle	29	27	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.06	-11	14	-25	17.4	15.0	2.45	15.2	15.9	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.46,0.64,0.76,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 108, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.27,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.43,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.68,0.84,1	91.8%
TOR 86, IND 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.83,0.83,1	91.4%
PHI 88, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.57,1	90.8%