NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	8.3 [181]		MVP	Toney Douglas (NYK): +55.4%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	6.7 [228]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -29.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.13	-0.00	7	79%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19	0.09	0.08	-0.02	6	67%	0.19	0	0.00	9	89%	0.04
Elton Brand	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.00	15	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.21	0.03	-0.20	0.04	12	58%	-0.00	2	-0.21	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.3	-0.14	-0.17	-0.02	20	37%	-0.03	4	-0.27	6	50%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.08,0.21,0.14,0.31,0.45,0.55	0.55	0.11	0.42	-0.02	13	71%	0.60	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.07
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	12	66%	0.18	2	-0.08	14	79%	0.02
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.02	0.01	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
J.R. Giddens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	7	0%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	0.00	16	31%	-0.20	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	0.3	28.1	17.4	23.3	2.7	35.3	134.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -12.0%

NYK +24.5%

NYK +9.4%

NYK +37.0%

PHI -9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	17.5	15.3	97.8	103.4	106.0
season	15.1	14.7		104.2	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		109.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.5	16.0	16.1	13.8	14.7
NYK	17.3	16.0	20.8	16.3	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	25	24	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.17	7	-11	18	14.0	15.0	-1.04	17.6	17.4	0.14
Rodney Carney	20	19	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.07	1	-5	6	14.5	14.8	-0.21	20.7	16.6	4.07
Marreese Speights	10	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	0	-4	14.7	14.7	-0.01	17.8	17.4	0.33
Willie Green	53	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-8	12	15.4	13.8	1.57	17.6	17.3	0.23
Samuel Dalembert	41	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-1	-2	15.4	14.2	1.20	17.5	17.5	-0.06
Lou Williams	42	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-1	-2	13.8	15.5	-1.69	16.9	17.9	-0.97
Jodie Meeks	7	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	2	-8	15.6	14.6	0.93	16.9	17.5	-0.67
Elton Brand	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-5	6	14.5	15.2	-0.73	16.9	19.0	-2.11
Jrue Holiday	78	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	-1	-2	14.7	14.9	-0.24	17.8	15.8	1.92
Andre Iguodala	81	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.38	-7	3	-10	14.9	13.0	1.90	17.7	15.5	2.23
Jason Kapono	29	30	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.49	-7	3	-10	14.5	14.8	-0.34	15.9	18.3	-2.34

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	57	57	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.35	15	-11	26	17.6	17.3	0.32	15.1	14.1	1.03
Al Harrington	74	73	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.53	4	0	4	17.7	16.3	1.46	14.9	14.1	0.80
Toney Douglas	45	46	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.53	4	0	4	16.8	18.1	-1.29	14.9	14.5	0.46
Danilo Gallinari	82	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	2	0	17.6	16.6	0.99	14.5	17.1	-2.64
Henry Walker	63	65	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.29	0	4	-4	16.4	20.0	-3.61	14.3	15.8	-1.56
Tracy McGrady	52	50	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	3	-2	18.0	16.7	1.29	15.4	13.8	1.60
J.R. Giddens	37	39	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	1	2	18.8	16.6	2.18	14.6	14.8	-0.12
Jonathan Bender	18	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	5	-6	17.4	17.5	-0.05	15.2	14.6	0.57
Sergio Rodriguez	17	19	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.13	-8	12	-20	16.9	17.6	-0.74	12.7	15.3	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.57,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, DEN 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.17,0.29,0.34,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.41,1	90.9%
POR 90, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.46,0.64,0.76,0.73,1	90.8%
POR 83, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.58,1	90.8%