inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 108 Excitement7.7 [266] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +45.0%
Dallas Mavericks 111 Comeback5.1 [475] LVPRichard Hamilton (DET): -31.2%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corliss Williamson0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.160.050.11-0.001065%0.181-0.023100%0.04
Bob Sura0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.090.060.050.02769%0.0900.00250%-0.01
Ben Wallace0.070,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.030.08-0.01671%0.174-0.102100%0.02
Chucky Atkins0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.00371%0.0500.001100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.020.00869%0.122-0.1200%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00475%0.093-0.10875%0.01
Darvin Ham-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00150%-0.021-0.02475%-0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.070.04-0.060.041063%-0.051-0.02786%0.05
Mehmet Okur-0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.01-0.060.02480%0.032-0.102100%0.01
Richard Hamilton-0.310,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.19,-0.25,-0.31-0.08-0.23-0.001940%-0.252-0.072100%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.34,0.45,0.450.450.190.290.032471%0.522-0.07887%0.00
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.240.240.150.120.021194%0.424-0.189100%0.05
Josh Howard0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.040.01771%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Scott Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.010.001100%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.002100%0.052-0.042100%0.01
Marquis Daniels00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06-0.06-0.070.020.011050%0.064-0.122100%0.01
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.0020%-0.0900.0020%-0.06
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.08-0.09-0.031534%-0.111-0.042100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.430.417.529.62.536.5142.1
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +64.0%
DET -20.3%
DAL +2.9%
DAL +2.5%
DAL +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETDALNBADETDALNBA
this game15.614.815.7112.5119.4100.5
season16.214.699.2109.2
opponent15.616.0105.092.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.815.116.716.115.6
DAL14.513.719.312.614.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elden Campbell34350.37-0.871.25-0.0414-173115.615.6-0.0616.513.82.73
Chucky Atkins36370.28-0.781.06-0.1013-162915.915.50.3813.715.6-1.84
Darvin Ham25230.14-0.640.770.053-6914.516.0-1.4915.914.51.43
Bob Sura2829-0.08-0.420.34-0.266-91514.516.1-1.5413.215.6-2.32
Mehmet Okur3634-0.20-0.300.100.09-107-1716.415.11.2713.215.8-2.62
Tayshaun Prince5956-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.17-74-1117.013.43.6113.816.4-2.60
Ben Wallace7269-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.41-1-2115.217.0-1.7815.313.61.64
Corliss Williamson5654-0.620.12-0.74-0.38-85-1315.615.60.0416.312.83.43
Richard Hamilton7369-0.780.28-1.07-0.40-1310-2315.516.0-0.5515.014.40.63
Chauncey Billups6159-0.790.29-1.08-0.44-129-2115.316.2-0.8614.814.9-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki82830.76-0.261.020.4710-71714.715.9-1.2116.012.93.13
Josh Howard49510.57-0.070.640.5121113.216.7-3.4615.016.3-1.29
Michael Finley75790.53-0.030.570.424-1515.512.03.5215.217.5-2.24
Antoine Walker70720.53-0.030.560.414-1514.815.0-0.2714.818.0-3.22
Steve Nash71730.51-0.010.520.4230314.615.6-0.9915.914.71.22
Scott Williams27280.130.37-0.25-0.025-2713.715.3-1.5517.314.92.39
Marquis Daniels010.030.47-0.440.0303-30.014.8-14.847.015.7-8.72
Travis Best2223-0.010.51-0.52-0.0103-315.614.60.9914.715.9-1.22
Danny Fortson1212-0.020.52-0.54-0.0512-120.214.06.2115.915.60.33
Antawn Jamison2727-0.080.58-0.650.04-47-1114.914.80.1215.415.7-0.35
Shawn Bradley3031-0.450.95-1.40-0.16-1013-2315.114.70.3917.214.92.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.27,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.43,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.68,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 90, GSW 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.46,0.64,0.76,0.73,191.8%
TOR 86, IND 890.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.83,0.83,190.8%
DEN 101, BOS 1060.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.38,0.45,0.68,0.73,190.8%