NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	7.7 [165]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +4.3%
Indiana Pacers	79		Comeback	1.9 [171]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -23.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	56%	0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.02	11	59%	-0.04	0	0.00	10	30%	-0.14
Grant Long	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	6	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Anthony Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	6	50%	-0.04	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Mookie Blaylock	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	11	42%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.11
Steven Smith	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	15	29%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Chris Crawford	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	5	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.10	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	69%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.01	10	62%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.04
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	8	11%	-0.19	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	0.00	26	41%	-0.12	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.0	1.8	25.3	15.7	24.1	2.4	41.1	129.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +31.1%

IND -6.8%

ATL +10.8%

ATL +11.5%

ATL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.8	94.4	88.8	99.6
season	16.7	16.4		97.2	105.4
opponent	16.0	16.3		101.2	94.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.3	13.9	17.2	15.0	15.8
IND	17.9	14.9	17.0	16.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	46	46	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-5	16	14.9	16.7	-1.75	15.5	17.4	-1.90
Dikembe Mutombo	71	69	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	0	6	15.4	17.1	-1.63	17.3	13.4	3.89
Anthony Johnson	42	41	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	0	6	15.4	16.1	-0.72	17.5	15.5	2.08
Chris Crawford	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.38	-1	7	-8	16.2	15.2	1.00	16.7	16.0	0.73
Tyrone Corbin	23	22	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	2	2	15.5	15.9	-0.39	16.3	16.4	-0.13
Steven Smith	68	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	4	-2	15.9	15.5	0.35	16.4	16.3	0.13
Mookie Blaylock	48	49	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	3	0	16.1	15.4	0.72	15.2	17.9	-2.70
Roshown McLeod	30	30	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	2	2	15.4	16.0	-0.60	16.2	16.5	-0.38
Mark West	14	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	7	-8	15.8	15.8	0.02	14.4	16.8	-2.42
Alan Henderson	54	52	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	10	-14	16.8	14.2	2.53	16.7	15.9	0.80

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	38	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.12	-6	0	-6	15.7	16.9	-1.18	14.6	16.6	-1.99
Austin Croshere	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-4	2	15.1	16.9	-1.86	16.8	15.4	1.43
Antonio Davis	40	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	0	-6	16.2	16.6	-0.30	14.7	16.4	-1.69
Travis Best	33	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	4	-14	14.3	17.7	-3.41	14.8	16.4	-1.59
Sam Perkins	25	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	0	-6	15.2	16.9	-1.69	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Mark Jackson	57	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-10	14	17.4	14.7	2.65	16.4	14.8	1.59
Chris Mullin	50	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-6	6	17.0	15.7	1.24	16.4	14.9	1.55
Dale Davis	61	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-8	10	16.9	15.3	1.65	16.2	14.7	1.52
Rik Smits	52	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-6	6	16.5	16.3	0.25	16.2	15.1	1.11
Reggie Miller	64	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.40	-6	0	-6	17.2	14.5	2.69	15.3	17.1	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 97, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.01,0.04,0	93.4%
NOP 113, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.45,0.46,0.34,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%
PHI 92, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.16,0	92.8%