NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	113		Excitement	7.5 [327]		MVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): +20.1%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	1.9 [538]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -31.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.09	-0.03	14	62%	0.22	2	-0.02	12	92%	0.05
Jrue Holiday	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.12	0.00	13	65%	0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.07	0.00	4	75%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	15	52%	0.12	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.04
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.01	0.05	8	76%	0.07	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Lou Amundson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	13	57%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	0.00	3	78%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	6	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	15	64%	0.13	4	-0.12	3	67%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	15	51%	0.07	4	-0.07	17	59%	-0.06
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.02	13	58%	0.11	4	-0.13	7	100%	0.03
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.18	-0.14	-0.01	12	34%	-0.12	6	-0.19	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.7	27.3	14.7	34.3	1.8	34.1	139.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +38.4%

SAC -5.1%

NOP +9.0%

NOP +17.1%

SAC -9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAC	NBA	NOP	SAC	NBA
this game	15.3	14.2	15.1	115.3	103.1	105.2
season	15.5	15.4		105.6	104.5
opponent	14.7	15.3		107.1	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.0	14.8	19.5	14.8	15.3
SAC	15.2	14.0	14.1	13.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	47	44	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	0	13	14.9	15.8	-0.91	13.7	14.6	-0.92
Tyreke Evans	75	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	2	9	15.3	15.4	-0.14	13.5	16.3	-2.77
Jrue Holiday	66	68	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.08	14	-1	15	15.9	14.1	1.78	14.4	13.8	0.59
Anthony Davis	87	86	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	2	9	15.5	13.7	1.80	14.1	15.3	-1.20
Ryan Anderson	57	56	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.14	16	-3	19	15.3	15.3	-0.03	14.4	14.0	0.36
Alexis Ajinca	29	29	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.28	0	13	-13	15.1	15.4	-0.37	14.6	14.1	0.49
Eric Gordon	41	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	9	-5	14.6	15.8	-1.19	15.1	13.5	1.53
Al-Farouq Aminu	51	51	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.11	6	7	-1	15.2	15.5	-0.31	15.0	13.3	1.72
Darius Miller	15	14	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	12	-11	13.7	15.6	-1.88	12.6	14.5	-1.83
Anthony Morrow	14	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	18	-23	14.3	15.5	-1.21	14.8	14.1	0.74
Lou Amundson	8	9	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.00	-6	19	-25	21.7	14.8	6.99	13.0	14.3	-1.33

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	12	13	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-17	21	15.2	14.1	1.19	14.5	15.5	-1.00
Quincy Acy	24	25	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-14	15	12.9	14.6	-1.71	17.8	14.5	3.37
Jimmer Fredette	27	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-14	15	14.8	14.0	0.84	14.5	15.6	-1.12
Ben McLemore	47	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-1	-11	14.8	13.7	1.13	15.6	15.1	0.55
Derrick Williams	49	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-9	5	13.8	14.6	-0.75	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Marcus Thornton	62	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-8	3	13.4	15.6	-2.14	15.0	15.9	-0.81
DeMarcus Cousins	62	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-3	-7	14.3	14.0	0.32	14.4	16.9	-2.47
Isaiah Thomas	70	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	1	-15	14.0	14.8	-0.84	15.6	14.5	1.12
Jason Thompson	52	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-6	-1	15.0	13.3	1.71	16.4	14.2	2.14
Rudy Gay	80	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.02	-19	6	-25	14.3	13.7	0.61	15.0	16.6	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.45,0.46,0.34,0.1,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, IND 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.09,0	92.9%
DET 94, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.1,0.19,0.03,0.02,0.01,0	92.2%
LAL 88, CHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.58,0.68,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.2,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.2%