NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	73		Excitement	9.0 [80]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +40.2%
Orlando Magic	74		Comeback	20.3 [38]		LVP	Ike Austin (ORL): -42.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	16	56%	0.15	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	2	75%	0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	14	46%	-0.05	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	44%	-0.03	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Snow	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.22,-0.29	-0.26	-0.07	-0.03	21	30%	-0.12	6	-0.17	4	75%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.29	-0.11	-0.19	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	5	-0.34	4	100%	0.05

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.31,-0.34,-0.34,-0.31,0.4	0.40	-0.12	0.53	0.01	17	38%	0.56	3	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	71%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.06	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Horace Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	10	18%	-0.15	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
Nick Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.13	-0.05	17	37%	-0.12	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.04
Ike Austin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.42	-0.42	-0.13	-0.30	-0.00	15	28%	-0.40	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	28.3	17.5	23.5	2.4	37.3	136.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +6.0%

PHI -3.6%

ORL +3.3%

ORL +40.4%

ORL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.9	15.8	79.3	82.2	99.6
season	15.6	16.1		97.0	98.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		95.7	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	16.5	13.1	15.1	14.8
ORL	16.8	17.0	17.6	16.2	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	67	67	0.90	-1.40	2.30	0.43	16	-17	33	15.4	13.2	2.21	18.8	11.3	7.52
Tyrone Hill	58	56	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.46	-13	12	-25	14.5	15.2	-0.69	15.7	18.8	-3.04
Jerald Honeycutt	9	8	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-4	7	17.3	14.5	2.84	21.4	16.5	4.91
Matt Geiger	57	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	0	-1	14.8	14.7	0.18	16.2	17.9	-1.71
Eric Snow	66	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.59	11	-12	23	15.1	14.0	1.02	17.7	14.8	2.94
Allen Iverson	81	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.48	6	-7	13	14.4	17.8	-3.46	16.7	18.6	-1.98
George Lynch	79	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.42	2	-3	5	14.6	16.0	-1.43	16.7	18.3	-1.56
Aaron McKie	25	24	-1.21	0.71	-1.93	-0.80	-14	13	-27	13.4	15.3	-1.83	15.7	17.3	-1.68
Larry Hughes	18	18	-1.28	0.78	-2.05	-0.84	-15	14	-29	15.4	14.6	0.77	13.9	17.7	-3.76

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	70	71	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.37	16	-15	31	16.5	18.2	-1.74	14.7	15.1	-0.48
Anfernee Hardaway	73	75	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.68	2	-1	3	17.0	16.4	0.60	15.2	12.9	2.25
Matt Harpring	50	50	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.75	-5	6	-11	17.2	16.5	0.63	14.3	15.4	-1.08
Derek Strong	41	41	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	-14	29	15.5	18.1	-2.55	14.8	14.7	0.10
Horace Grant	62	64	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.52	-10	11	-21	17.3	16.1	1.20	15.0	14.3	0.65
Nick Anderson	70	73	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.50	-10	11	-21	16.7	17.6	-0.96	14.1	17.3	-3.21
Dominique Wilkins	8	8	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	-1	3	17.6	16.8	0.80	19.1	14.4	4.77
Michael Doleac	36	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.21	5	-4	9	16.7	17.0	-0.25	14.4	15.0	-0.63
Ike Austin	40	42	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.15	-10	11	-21	18.2	15.8	2.38	15.1	14.5	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.28,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 91, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.26,0.19,0.39,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.42,1	89.6%
SAS 104, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.05,1	89.3%
PHI 88, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.27,1	89.0%