NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	82		Excitement	7.2 [213]		MVP	Bimbo Coles (GSW): +31.2%
Golden State Warriors	92		Comeback	1.8 [534]		LVP	John Starks (GSW): -20.0%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	10	60%	0.07	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	31	49%	0.01	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.03
Sam Mack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	54%	-0.03	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Lee Mayberry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	9	30%	-0.00	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.08	0.20	-0.03	11	71%	0.34	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.09	-0.02	17	56%	0.15	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	15	47%	0.01	4	-0.13	6	50%	-0.03
John Starks	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	13	43%	-0.04	4	-0.16	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	26.5	14.6	24.8	1.8	36.4	129.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +42.9%

VAN -8.7%

GSW +28.9%

VAN -16.4%

GSW +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	GSW	NBA	VAN	GSW	NBA
this game	16.0	14.5	15.8	86.3	97.9	99.6
season	16.4	15.9		95.7	95.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		98.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.4	16.3	15.7	15.6	16.0
GSW	15.7	15.7	11.3	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	9	10	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-12	14	14.4	16.2	-1.71	13.9	14.5	-0.65
Bryant Reeves	24	23	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-11	12	17.8	15.4	2.41	17.2	13.6	3.63
Michael Smith	36	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-11	12	16.8	15.5	1.31	16.9	13.0	3.95
Sam Mack	28	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-6	2	17.9	15.2	2.65	15.7	14.0	1.67
Lee Mayberry	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-9	8	16.7	15.6	1.05	13.8	14.8	-0.96
Mike Bibby	63	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-1	-8	15.6	16.7	-1.05	14.8	13.8	0.96
Felipe Lopez	67	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-4	-2	15.2	17.9	-2.65	14.0	15.7	-1.67
Pete Chilcutt	59	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	2	-14	15.1	17.4	-2.34	12.8	17.2	-4.40
Cherokee Parks	68	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	2	-14	16.1	15.7	0.40	13.7	16.4	-2.65
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	89	88	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	0	-10	15.8	18.3	-2.50	14.5	13.8	0.69

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	70	70	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.21	15	-5	20	13.9	16.2	-2.38	16.0	16.0	0.04
Chris Mills	65	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-3	16	13.6	16.6	-3.00	16.3	15.4	0.88
Erick Dampier	76	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	4	2	14.1	15.9	-1.74	16.1	15.5	0.58
Tony Delk	49	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	1	8	13.5	15.6	-2.11	16.0	16.0	-0.06
Bimbo Coles	44	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	5	0	15.7	13.4	2.39	15.3	16.6	-1.34
John Starks	76	78	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	6	-2	14.2	15.8	-1.61	15.9	16.3	-0.37
Adonal Foyle	27	28	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	9	-8	16.0	13.9	2.19	15.5	16.2	-0.64
Terry Cummings	31	31	0.00	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	9	-8	16.5	13.5	2.94	16.8	15.6	1.16
Antawn Jamison	23	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	13	-16	16.4	13.9	2.53	15.2	16.2	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.85,0.72,0.75,0.89,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.47,0.48,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.76,0.85,0.98,1,1	93.8%
WAS 76, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.94,0.98,1,1	93.6%
MIL 104, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.2%