NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	76		Excitement	6.3 [531]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (MEM): +16.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	85		Comeback	2.2 [833]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -13.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	10	38%	0.08	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	8	50%	0.09	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	16	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	9	44%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.02	11	64%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	15	55%	0.10	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.03	13	45%	0.09	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	61%	0.15	4	-0.14	2	50%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	13	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	10	32%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.4	28.4	16.4	24.5	2.4	30.6	124.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +19.3%

MEM +12.3%

MEM +14.0%

WAS -1.9%

MEM +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MEM	NBA	WAS	MEM	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.4	85.4	93.4	104.1
season	15.1	16.5		98.8	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.1	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.1	19.8	16.5	18.6	16.5
MEM	16.1	16.2	14.8	15.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	35	35	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-8	7	14.6	17.7	-3.15	16.1	15.2	0.95
Kevin Seraphin	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-7	5	19.1	14.9	4.14	16.1	15.2	0.84
Trevor Booker	13	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-3	-3	20.8	15.7	5.11	15.4	15.6	-0.20
John Wall	46	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	0	-9	14.5	18.6	-4.10	15.4	15.7	-0.25
Jordan Crawford	44	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-6	3	17.3	15.6	1.70	14.8	16.3	-1.51
Emeka Okafor	69	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-6	3	15.0	21.5	-6.47	15.2	16.7	-1.54
Martell Webster	66	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-3	-3	15.4	19.6	-4.16	15.5	15.6	-0.07
A.J. Price	43	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-9	9	18.6	14.5	4.10	15.7	15.4	0.25
Nene	63	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-2	-5	15.8	18.1	-2.31	15.7	15.2	0.52
Trevor Ariza	33	36	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	-1	-7	19.5	14.7	4.82	15.9	15.3	0.69

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	60	57	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-3	15	14.9	16.7	-1.74	17.3	15.1	2.22
Mike Conley	67	67	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	2	5	15.3	16.2	-0.87	15.4	19.9	-4.55
Zach Randolph	69	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	4	1	16.3	13.2	3.09	15.9	18.3	-2.44
Darrell Arthur	31	30	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	3	3	14.3	16.2	-1.88	19.1	15.1	4.00
Jerryd Bayless	64	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	-4	17	16.0	14.3	1.70	16.7	15.7	1.00
Marc Gasol	73	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	7	-5	15.1	17.2	-2.11	16.0	18.6	-2.67
Tony Allen	69	64	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.33	-3	12	-15	15.7	15.1	0.52	16.4	16.7	-0.33
Ed Davis	9	9	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	4	1	17.4	15.3	2.13	16.2	16.5	-0.29
Austin Daye	7	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	7	-5	17.1	15.4	1.75	18.5	16.3	2.22
Tony Wroten	6	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	13	-17	15.3	15.5	-0.21	17.0	16.5	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.94,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 88, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	94.1%
GSW 90, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	94.1%
POR 93, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.95,0.98,1	93.9%