NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	90		Excitement	7.4 [359]		MVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): +15.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	98		Comeback	2.8 [563]		LVP	Adam Morrison (CHA): -14.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Powell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	67%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	12	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	17	51%	0.05	4	-0.13	7	57%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	10	46%	0.02	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Al Harrington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	20	39%	-0.03	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Monta Ellis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	14	45%	-0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.11	-0.01	19	54%	0.22	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	13	59%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	10	64%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	15	54%	0.09	2	-0.07	9	56%	-0.07
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	7	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	10	36%	-0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	29.4	14.7	31.2	2.5	31.5	135.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +48.8%

GSW -0.7%

GSW -15.6%

CHA +13.0%

CHA +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHA	NBA	GSW	CHA	NBA
this game	14.1	17.0	15.4	97.8	105.4	104.5
season	13.5	15.7		105.7	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.3	13.4	14.2	15.8	14.1
CHA	18.6	15.4	14.6	20.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Powell	13	14	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-10	12	13.6	14.2	-0.59	14.2	17.5	-3.28
Matt Barnes	16	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-8	8	11.2	14.7	-3.47	14.7	17.6	-2.89
Kelenna Azubuike	29	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-4	0	12.5	14.9	-2.39	15.6	17.7	-2.08
Stephen Jackson	69	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-5	2	14.9	11.8	3.06	17.7	15.3	2.40
Monta Ellis	69	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-2	-4	14.1	14.2	-0.13	17.2	16.5	0.68
Mickael Pietrus	57	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	13.6	15.0	-1.42	16.1	18.5	-2.43
Baron Davis	73	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	14.7	12.0	2.67	17.1	16.7	0.36
Andris Biedrins	67	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-1	-6	14.6	12.8	1.81	17.7	15.3	2.35
Al Harrington	67	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	3	-14	14.2	13.8	0.38	18.0	14.2	3.83

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	74	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-5	18	17.6	14.8	2.78	14.1	14.4	-0.31
Gerald Wallace	91	90	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-2	12	17.2	8.0	9.20	14.0	21.0	-7.03
Emeka Okafor	79	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	0	8	17.4	14.8	2.61	14.1	14.2	-0.08
Matt Carroll	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	3	2	16.8	17.5	-0.73	13.8	14.9	-1.10
Jeff McInnis	60	60	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	3	2	16.3	18.2	-1.83	15.0	12.5	2.53
Adam Morrison	57	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	5	-2	16.5	17.8	-1.36	14.0	14.3	-0.31
Jake Voskuhl	15	16	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	10	-12	13.8	17.6	-3.82	14.2	14.1	0.08
Walter Herrmann	13	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	8	-8	15.3	17.3	-1.97	13.6	14.2	-0.59
Derek Anderson	10	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	10	-12	23.2	16.3	6.95	14.0	14.1	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 80, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	94.4%
WAS 76, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.94,0.98,1,1	94.1%
BOS 96, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.99,1	94.0%