NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	84		Excitement	9.2 [68]		MVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): +33.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	85		Comeback	3.0 [227]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -32.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.34	0.02	0.31	-0.00	12	54%	0.37	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.15	0.00	11	64%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	9	75%	0.19	3	-0.13	6	100%	0.04
Aaron Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	6	40%	-0.00	4	-0.10	3	67%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12	0.00	-0.11	0.01	9	44%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	11	33%	-0.12	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05
Gary Payton	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.33,-0.33	-0.14	-0.19	-0.00	16	29%	-0.29	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.3	0.30	-0.02	0.31	-0.02	21	52%	0.43	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	13	38%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	0.01	7	28%	-0.16	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.17	-0.02	15	37%	-0.11	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	27.0	17.4	24.4	2.5	35.3	133.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -14.9%

SEA -11.9%

MIN +27.9%

MIN +8.5%

MIN +40.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIN	NBA	SEA	MIN	NBA
this game	16.5	16.8	15.8	96.6	98.8	99.6
season	15.4	15.0		102.4	98.6
opponent	15.9	15.9		98.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.0	15.1	18.4	17.9	16.5
MIN	17.0	15.6	16.7	18.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Barry	22	21	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.01	9	-10	19	12.9	17.7	-4.86	19.8	15.8	3.98
Aaron Williams	11	12	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.04	7	-8	15	12.7	17.0	-4.31	19.8	16.3	3.52
Dale Ellis	44	45	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.42	19	-20	39	15.4	17.6	-2.20	17.1	16.5	0.60
Detlef Schrempf	60	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.61	15	-16	31	16.1	17.3	-1.22	17.8	14.6	3.19
Billy Owens	45	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	12	-25	16.5	16.5	0.03	16.0	17.7	-1.64
Olden Polynice	58	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.24	-10	9	-19	17.4	14.7	2.66	15.7	19.0	-3.32
Vin Baker	48	46	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.00	-20	19	-39	17.6	15.2	2.38	16.9	16.6	0.28
Hersey Hawkins	73	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.47	-6	5	-11	17.1	13.2	3.91	16.7	17.3	-0.56
Gary Payton	74	73	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.54	-6	5	-11	17.1	13.2	3.84	15.8	22.2	-6.40

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	65	67	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.35	17	-16	33	16.6	17.5	-0.89	18.0	11.4	6.61
Stephon Marbury	64	64	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-7	15	15.8	19.8	-4.05	17.1	14.8	2.33
Joe Smith	57	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-11	23	15.9	18.6	-2.64	16.7	16.0	0.68
Anthony Peeler	46	48	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	-5	11	15.6	18.2	-2.61	16.0	17.1	-1.10
Dean Garrett	45	45	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	-10	21	15.4	18.3	-2.89	17.5	15.4	2.15
Malik Sealy	53	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.56	-14	15	-29	17.8	15.3	2.48	15.7	17.7	-2.04
Bobby Jackson	26	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	6	-11	19.1	15.8	3.26	15.1	17.1	-1.95
Sam Mitchell	41	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.58	-21	22	-43	18.8	15.0	3.83	15.2	17.6	-2.44
Bill Curley	23	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	4	-7	18.7	16.1	2.53	16.1	16.6	-0.49
Tom Hammonds	10	9	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	7	-13	18.3	16.6	1.69	12.3	17.0	-4.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 82, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.96,0.96,1	91.1%
IND 107, WAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.52,0.42,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.85,0.92,1	90.7%
PHI 105, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.37,0.64,0.53,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.99,0.92,1	90.6%