NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	107		Excitement	8.1 [254]		MVP	Kevin Seraphin (IND): +24.8%
Washington Wizards	112		Comeback	2.3 [749]		LVP	Myles Turner (IND): -11.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Seraphin	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.10	0.12	-0.03	10	80%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09	0.13	-0.01	0.02	23	58%	0.11	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.06	0.00	0.03	-0.03	9	44%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.01	12	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	9	50%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.00	0.00	18	68%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.01	15	53%	0.18	2	-0.05	8	62%	0.04
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.08	0.00	12	58%	0.16	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.03	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
John Wall	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.08	0.00	16	55%	0.21	7	-0.17	15	67%	-0.05
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.4	29.3	16.6	25.6	3.4	37.4	139.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +23.4%

WAS +13.8%

WAS +9.9%

WAS +1.1%

WAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	14.3	14.8	109.2	115.5	107.7
season	14.9	14.4		107.5	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.7	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.5	15.1	16.2	16.4	15.2
WAS	13.1	14.3	15.1	14.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	26	25	0.36	-0.86	1.22	-0.02	13	-18	31	14.7	15.4	-0.72	14.4	14.3	0.18
Al Jefferson	35	35	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.10	14	-19	33	14.6	15.6	-0.93	14.2	14.4	-0.22
Rodney Stuckey	35	37	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.13	14	-19	33	14.5	15.7	-1.19	14.4	14.3	0.11
Kevin Seraphin	48	48	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.29	12	-17	29	14.8	15.6	-0.77	15.1	13.6	1.49
Monta Ellis	55	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.36	10	-15	25	15.7	14.7	0.98	14.7	13.9	0.81
CJ Miles	45	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.06	-13	8	-21	14.4	15.9	-1.48	13.4	15.2	-1.79
Lavoy Allen	48	46	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.00	-19	14	-33	15.9	14.6	1.27	14.0	14.5	-0.51
Jeff Teague	63	60	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.23	-19	14	-33	15.7	14.5	1.19	14.3	14.4	-0.11
Myles Turner	63	62	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.25	-19	14	-33	15.6	14.6	0.93	14.4	14.2	0.22
Paul George	72	72	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.33	-18	13	-31	15.4	14.7	0.72	14.3	14.4	-0.18

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	74	76	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.36	21	-16	37	13.9	15.7	-1.76	15.2	15.2	0.06
Marcin Gortat	69	70	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.31	19	-14	33	14.4	14.1	0.23	15.3	15.1	0.11
Bradley Beal	71	71	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.39	14	-9	23	14.3	14.3	-0.05	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Markieff Morris	63	66	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.30	16	-11	27	14.0	14.9	-0.93	15.1	15.4	-0.32
Otto Porter	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	-6	17	12.6	16.4	-3.80	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Tomas Satoransky	25	25	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.23	-6	11	-17	16.4	13.6	2.82	16.7	14.7	2.01
Jason Smith	34	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.06	-11	16	-27	14.9	14.0	0.93	15.4	15.1	0.32
Kelly Oubre Jr.	41	42	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.04	-12	17	-29	15.3	13.6	1.70	14.5	15.8	-1.31
Ian Mahinmi	27	26	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.01	-13	18	-31	14.6	14.2	0.44	15.6	15.1	0.53
Trey Burke	28	28	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.02	-14	19	-33	14.9	14.1	0.87	15.6	15.1	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.52,0.42,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	91.8%
OKC 105, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.81,0.76,0.92,1	91.5%
DET 79, DEN 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.84,1,1	91.5%