NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	7.3 [361]		MVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): +40.2%
Orlando Magic	110		Comeback	3.1 [356]		LVP	Bruce Bowen (PHI): -15.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.11	0.03	33	61%	0.30	4	-0.12	9	56%	-0.05
George Lynch	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14	0.01	0.11	-0.02	13	54%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Todd MacCulloch	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Billy Owens	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	56%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Larry Hughes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	10	32%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	6	44%	-0.04	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	7	29%	-0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.22	0.19	0.01	11	96%	0.40	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.01	9	60%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	10	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	9	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	7	54%	0.03	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	41%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	19	50%	0.06	6	-0.14	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.5	29.3	16.6	25.6	1.6	39.4	139.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +36.0%

ORL +10.9%

PHI -9.0%

ORL +9.9%

ORL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	15.2	106.1	108.9	101.7
season	15.0	13.6		99.5	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.5		99.3	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.9	14.2	15.2	14.3	14.6
ORL	13.9	13.0	16.1	13.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Billy Owens	29	29	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.07	12	-17	29	12.7	15.4	-2.69	16.3	13.3	3.04
Todd MacCulloch	61	62	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.50	20	-25	45	13.8	16.0	-2.23	15.9	11.4	4.51
Bruce Bowen	38	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-8	11	15.2	14.2	0.99	15.7	13.2	2.48
Eric Snow	56	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.44	10	-15	25	13.9	15.5	-1.61	14.5	13.7	0.76
Nazr Mohammed	51	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	10	-25	15.0	14.2	0.85	12.9	15.5	-2.61
Larry Hughes	41	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	10	-25	14.8	14.5	0.26	12.4	15.3	-2.92
Allen Iverson	83	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	3	-11	15.3	11.2	4.03	14.5	12.1	2.48
George Lynch	76	78	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.32	-13	8	-21	15.0	13.3	1.67	13.6	16.2	-2.64
Aaron McKie	59	62	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.18	-19	14	-33	15.1	13.9	1.13	12.8	16.3	-3.51

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	77	77	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.32	22	-17	39	13.5	16.2	-2.66	15.1	13.0	2.15
Pat Garrity	47	45	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-5	15	13.4	14.9	-1.53	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	43	42	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.09	19	-14	33	13.7	14.6	-0.88	16.6	13.2	3.46
Corey Maggette	39	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.51	-6	11	-17	15.2	13.5	1.71	13.7	15.2	-1.54
Michael Doleac	35	35	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.15	15	-10	25	14.3	14.1	0.12	17.8	12.9	4.87
John Amaechi	52	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.53	-10	15	-25	14.4	13.9	0.54	13.4	15.8	-2.40
Ben Wallace	48	48	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.09	9	-4	13	14.4	14.0	0.45	14.9	14.4	0.52
Monty Williams	52	51	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.39	-9	14	-23	14.3	14.0	0.35	13.2	16.2	-3.03
Bo Outlaw	68	66	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.10	6	-1	7	13.8	15.0	-1.27	15.0	13.8	1.26
Chris Gatling	20	20	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.09	-14	19	-33	14.7	14.0	0.65	11.9	15.3	-3.35
Chucky Atkins	24	22	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	0.03	-17	22	-39	16.2	13.5	2.66	13.0	15.1	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.37,0.64,0.53,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.99,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 84, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.73,1	90.6%
LAC 95, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	90.5%
MEM 85, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.95,1,1,1,1	90.4%