NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	85		Excitement	6.3 [446]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +19.6%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	2.8 [560]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -16.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	7	60%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	3	43%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.02	0.05	10	77%	0.11	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Conley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	14	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	6	29%	-0.10	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Marc Gasol	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	13	31%	-0.12	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	12	33%	-0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.00	18	56%	0.20	0	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	7	100%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.09	0.03	11	67%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brandan Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.03	-0.04	14	50%	0.13	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	7	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	9	28%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	28.7	17.0	25.3	2.4	34.5	132.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +44.3%

DAL +7.2%

DAL +5.6%

MEM -6.1%

MEM -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.7	15.6	94.4	104.4	102.8
season	15.6	15.5		102.0	101.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		100.9	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.7	16.0	18.1	17.0	16.1
DAL	15.7	14.6	17.1	15.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	41	42	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.04	9	-19	28	16.4	15.8	0.55	15.9	15.6	0.36
Quincy Pondexter	20	20	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.03	6	-16	22	17.4	15.7	1.69	17.0	15.4	1.62
Gilbert Arenas	20	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.11	2	-12	14	17.2	15.8	1.43	15.6	15.8	-0.11
Tony Allen	48	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-4	-2	16.2	15.9	0.35	16.0	15.5	0.53
O.J. Mayo	43	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-7	4	15.7	16.4	-0.66	14.9	16.5	-1.57
Marc Gasol	67	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.22	-3	-7	4	16.3	15.6	0.65	16.3	14.2	2.13
Dante Cunningham	35	36	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	1	-12	15.0	16.8	-1.78	14.8	16.4	-1.59
Rudy Gay	68	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	3	-16	15.6	17.6	-2.05	15.4	16.6	-1.19
Marreese Speights	37	37	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	5	-20	16.5	15.8	0.68	15.4	15.9	-0.51
Mike Conley	71	72	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.28	-16	6	-22	16.0	16.5	-0.49	16.0	14.7	1.33

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	71	71	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.13	20	-10	30	15.6	16.2	-0.59	16.9	13.2	3.65
Shawn Marion	54	54	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	0	10	16.7	14.4	2.29	16.2	15.9	0.24
Rodrigue Beaubois	42	42	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	1	8	15.5	16.0	-0.53	16.0	16.2	-0.17
Jason Terry	68	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	9	-8	15.3	17.0	-1.69	15.3	18.3	-2.92
Brendan Haywood	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	4	2	16.6	15.0	1.60	16.1	16.1	0.02
Vince Carter	45	43	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	0	10	15.4	16.0	-0.58	16.4	15.8	0.63
Ian Mahinmi	44	44	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	8	-6	15.7	15.8	-0.06	16.2	16.0	0.14
Brandan Wright	5	5	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	8	-6	8.8	16.1	-7.34	15.4	16.1	-0.73
Delonte West	49	48	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	9	-8	16.0	15.5	0.53	16.2	16.0	0.17
Lamar Odom	35	35	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.01	-11	21	-32	15.8	15.7	0.06	15.4	16.5	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.2%
NYK 81, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	92.1%
SAS 109, DEN 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.89,1,1,1,1	91.7%