NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	94		Excitement	6.6 [276]		MVP	Eric Murdock (NJN): +15.0%
New Jersey Nets	86		Comeback	1.3 [296]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -26.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	7	71%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	18	43%	0.05	2	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.00	-0.02	3	8%	-0.10	2	-0.03	6	17%	-0.07
Ray Allen	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.08	0.04	13	56%	-0.07	5	-0.13	8	100%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Murdock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.01	0.13	-0.03	11	45%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	11	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	5	36%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	16	37%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	14	23%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.08	-0.19	0.00	20	55%	-0.08	6	-0.19	9	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	28.5	14.7	27.3	2.3	32.6	133.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +43.2%

NJN -5.5%

MIL +0.6%

MIL +12.9%

NJN -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	15.8	97.9	89.6	99.6
season	15.8	15.0		102.4	96.5
opponent	15.6	16.4		100.6	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.3	14.8	14.9	14.5	14.7
NJN	20.0	14.0	12.8	15.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	47	47	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.23	12	-4	16	13.1	16.1	-2.95	15.1	15.6	-0.47
Ray Allen	74	76	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.26	2	6	-4	14.8	14.1	0.67	15.4	15.1	0.24
Ervin Johnson	51	49	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.24	2	6	-4	13.5	15.9	-2.40	14.5	16.2	-1.74
Glenn Robinson	69	71	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	5	-2	15.2	13.3	1.89	15.1	16.1	-1.00
Elliot Perry	41	38	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	0	8	13.8	15.3	-1.49	14.8	15.7	-0.87
Vinny Del Negro	55	58	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	8	-8	15.3	13.8	1.49	15.7	14.8	0.87
Armen Gilliam	36	34	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	1	6	13.7	15.2	-1.49	14.4	15.9	-1.44
Tyrone Hill	51	52	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.32	-5	13	-18	16.0	13.2	2.78	16.6	13.9	2.65
Dell Curry	35	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.16	9	-1	10	14.2	14.9	-0.67	13.7	16.3	-2.58
Robert Traylor	23	23	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	7	-6	16.2	14.2	2.00	18.9	14.2	4.64

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Evans	1	0	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-8	8	0.0	15.5	-15.51	0.0	14.7	-14.66
Chris Gatling	24	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-9	10	14.2	15.7	-1.51	15.3	14.5	0.80
Scott Burrell	19	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-7	6	15.6	15.3	0.29	15.5	14.5	1.02
Jayson Williams	65	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.29	4	-12	16	15.9	14.3	1.60	15.5	12.7	2.82
Damon Jones	33	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	3	-14	14.9	15.6	-0.71	12.9	15.6	-2.79
Eric Murdock	68	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-8	8	15.8	14.1	1.70	15.6	12.6	2.97
Jim McIlvaine	29	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	2	-12	14.9	15.5	-0.64	13.1	15.3	-2.24
Kerry Kittles	90	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	14.8	22.8	-7.99	14.6	15.0	-0.37
Kendall Gill	79	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.18	-9	1	-10	15.6	14.4	1.20	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Keith Van Horn	72	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.23	-9	1	-10	15.7	14.2	1.51	14.5	15.3	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.05,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.39,0.54,0.23,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 115, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.24,0.04,0	92.1%
HOU 93, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.33,0.31,0.15,0.22,0.05,0	92.0%
PHI 84, TOR 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.04,0	91.9%