NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	84		Excitement	6.1 [554]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +7.9%
Toronto Raptors	79		Comeback	1.1 [533]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -15.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08	-0.08	0.11	-0.05	30	44%	0.12	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	13	64%	0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Snow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.12	-0.00	8	56%	0.16	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	12	42%	-0.00	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	18	39%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	10	54%	-0.01	1	-0.11	8	87%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	27	39%	-0.13	2	-0.03	10	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	36.3	18.7	28.1	3.7	36.2	151.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +41.9%

TOR -8.4%

TOR -1.1%

PHI +17.6%

PHI +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	16.3	17.4	15.5	97.7	92.9	100.9
season	15.7	15.8		101.4	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.1	14.3	17.2	19.0	16.3
TOR	18.3	15.7	17.9	17.9	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	79	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-3	11	16.6	12.7	3.92	17.3	17.7	-0.37
Dikembe Mutombo	81	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-2	9	16.3	16.6	-0.30	17.6	14.5	3.09
Allen Iverson	86	85	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	16.3	0.0	16.31	17.4	0.0	17.38
Eric Snow	43	43	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	0	5	16.0	16.7	-0.72	17.4	17.4	0.04
Tyrone Hill	38	36	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.25	-1	6	-7	17.2	15.6	1.61	18.4	16.6	1.80
George Lynch	51	49	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	4	-3	16.2	16.4	-0.19	17.0	17.9	-0.89
Jumaine Jones	25	26	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	3	-1	17.0	16.0	0.97	16.6	17.7	-1.15
Todd MacCulloch	5	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	7	-9	16.6	16.3	0.30	14.5	17.6	-3.09
Kevin Ollie	22	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	5	-5	13.7	17.2	-3.48	17.5	17.3	0.20

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-7	9	13.4	17.7	-4.30	15.9	16.4	-0.50
Jerome Williams	14	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-1	-3	16.9	17.5	-0.62	14.3	16.7	-2.42
Dell Curry	17	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	0	-5	16.1	17.7	-1.57	12.7	17.1	-4.38
Alvin Williams	76	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-4	3	17.5	16.7	0.79	16.6	13.9	2.69
Charles Oakley	69	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	17.6	16.2	1.39	16.8	14.0	2.84
Chris Childs	79	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-3	1	17.4	16.7	0.76	16.7	11.5	5.18
Antonio Davis	78	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	2	-9	17.7	13.4	4.30	16.4	15.9	0.50
Vince Carter	85	86	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.37	-5	0	-5	17.4	0.0	17.38	16.3	0.0	16.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, PHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.23,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.33,0.16,0	93.9%
IND 99, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.13,0	93.6%
BOS 115, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.06,0.15,0.02,0	93.5%