NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	115		Excitement	6.7 [455]		MVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): +16.4%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	1.1 [332]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): -13.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	14	72%	0.19	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	0.00	11	64%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.14,0.07,0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	16	54%	0.24	5	-0.15	7	86%	0.01
James Young	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Jae Crowder	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	13	46%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	13	41%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Marcus Smart	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	5	85%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	19	53%	0.07	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	10	52%	-0.01	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.33,-0.26,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	0.05	18	52%	0.09	6	-0.23	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.6	28.0	15.4	23.1	1.8	41.3	132.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +32.4%

BOS +3.1%

PHX -1.1%

BOS +15.0%

BOS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.6	12.8	15.1	109.5	104.8	104.2
season	14.3	14.4		103.1	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		104.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.7	14.7	15.7	13.6	14.6
PHX	15.3	14.7	12.0	10.0	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	54	58	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.05	21	-16	37	14.3	15.0	-0.67	14.3	11.0	3.32
Avery Bradley	66	66	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-1	7	14.7	14.5	0.28	12.1	14.0	-1.92
Jae Crowder	62	62	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	2	1	14.0	15.6	-1.56	12.7	12.9	-0.16
Evan Turner	71	70	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.37	0	5	-5	14.8	14.4	0.38	12.4	13.5	-1.04
Tyler Zeller	77	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	7	-9	15.2	13.0	2.19	13.0	12.2	0.74
Brandon Bass	68	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	-5	15	14.5	14.9	-0.35	12.9	12.7	0.20
Gerald Wallace	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	3	-1	14.4	14.7	-0.36	13.6	12.4	1.20
James Young	39	39	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	6	-7	14.5	14.7	-0.28	14.0	12.1	1.92
Marcus Smart	57	55	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.36	-14	19	-33	15.0	14.2	0.75	10.9	14.9	-3.99

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Barron	6	7	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-6	7	18.0	12.5	5.53	15.7	14.6	1.15
Brandan Wright	34	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-4	3	14.1	12.1	2.01	15.0	14.5	0.49
Marcus Morris	39	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-3	1	13.5	12.3	1.19	13.4	15.4	-2.04
Archie Goodwin	28	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-8	11	15.1	11.9	3.16	13.2	15.1	-1.89
TJ Warren	19	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	2	-9	12.3	12.9	-0.64	14.3	14.7	-0.46
Marcus Thornton	16	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	2	-9	14.3	12.5	1.80	14.8	14.6	0.15
PJ Tucker	81	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.37	2	-7	9	12.1	15.0	-2.81	14.7	14.5	0.13
Eric Bledsoe	89	89	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-5	5	12.1	16.4	-4.23	14.7	14.4	0.24
Alex Len	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	12.4	13.5	-1.04	15.5	13.1	2.41
Markieff Morris	70	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	11.9	14.5	-2.63	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Brandon Knight	74	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	3	-11	12.9	12.5	0.44	14.9	14.1	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.06,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 104, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.3,0.18,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.02,0.01,0	93.6%
HOU 93, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.33,0.31,0.15,0.22,0.05,0	93.6%
PHI 84, TOR 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.04,0	93.5%