NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	4.7 [526]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +20.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	1.2 [245]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -15.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.20	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.08	-0.04	22	66%	0.25	4	-0.05	12	83%	0.02
Matt Geiger	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.03	0.01	10	82%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	55%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	9	75%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	8	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.04
Harvey Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	-0.01	-0.08	8	15%	-0.08	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	69%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	76%	0.13	3	-0.07	15	93%	0.05
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	59%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	8	59%	0.06	6	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	14%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.03	0.02	17	53%	-0.05	6	-0.11	9	78%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	32.4	14.8	24.2	1.6	40.0	139.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +43.6%

CLE -10.7%

PHI +4.6%

PHI +14.3%

CLE -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	15.3	15.8	117.8	106.6	99.6
season	15.6	16.3		97.0	97.3
opponent	16.2	15.9		99.2	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.0	17.6	16.4	18.4	16.5
CLE	13.7	15.9	17.0	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	78	79	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	1	7	16.6	16.2	0.38	15.0	17.3	-2.31
Matt Geiger	51	51	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.12	21	-12	33	15.0	18.5	-3.55	15.5	15.0	0.50
Eric Snow	79	80	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	1	7	16.1	19.1	-2.95	14.8	18.9	-4.07
George Lynch	63	64	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	-1	11	15.9	17.9	-1.93	15.4	15.2	0.21
Theo Ratliff	58	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	6	-3	17.1	15.3	1.79	14.8	16.4	-1.60
Harvey Grant	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	10	-11	17.5	16.0	1.50	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Aaron McKie	39	38	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	10	-11	18.2	15.2	2.92	15.6	15.1	0.47
Nazr Mohammed	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	6	-3	16.6	16.5	0.13	19.4	14.7	4.73
Larry Hughes	40	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	15	-21	16.7	16.4	0.31	15.9	14.9	0.95

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	55	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.30	9	-18	27	14.9	16.1	-1.20	17.3	15.3	1.99
Bob Sura	36	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.15	2	-11	13	16.1	14.9	1.20	17.6	15.8	1.75
Mitchell Butler	5	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-3	-3	17.6	15.2	2.40	18.2	16.4	1.80
Danny Ferry	55	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.40	8	-17	25	14.8	16.1	-1.29	17.1	15.6	1.57
Vitaly Potapenko	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-7	5	16.1	14.7	1.35	17.2	15.9	1.32
Derek Anderson	79	79	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-11	13	14.9	17.8	-2.88	16.5	16.5	-0.05
Cedric Henderson	45	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.21	-23	14	-37	16.2	14.5	1.63	14.7	18.1	-3.36
Brevin Knight	63	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.04	-16	7	-23	15.1	15.8	-0.66	15.9	18.0	-2.14
Shawn Kemp	76	76	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.10	-19	10	-29	15.2	15.9	-0.64	16.0	19.0	-2.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 110, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
DET 106, SAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
IND 98, DET 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.2%