inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 98 Excitement7.3 [199] MVPJerome Williams (DET): +13.2%
Detroit Pistons 107 Comeback1.7 [255] LVPRik Smits (IND): -19.2%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Miller0.070,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.070.040.01-0.031174%0.214-0.141385%0.03
Antonio Davis0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00667%0.0400.006100%0.06
Travis Best0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00460%0.0300.002100%0.01
Chris Mullin0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01564%0.041-0.034100%0.02
Al Harrington0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sam Perkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.020.00545%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Dale Davis-0.040,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00540%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Fred Hoiberg-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.040.01542%-0.071-0.022100%0.00
Mark Jackson-0.120,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12-0.04-0.050.03667%-0.014-0.12683%-0.00
Jalen Rose-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.07-0.09-0.011243%-0.062-0.094100%0.03
Rik Smits-0.190,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.11-0.08-0.001030%-0.132-0.07333%-0.03

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.13-0.000.140.00854%0.1300.00887%0.09
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.060.050.003100%0.1200.0000%0.00
Eric Montross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.00-0.01560%0.0400.0000%0.00
Don Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Bison Dele0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.020.01567%0.031-0.042100%0.01
Loy Vaught0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.01763%0.063-0.08580%0.02
Grant Hill0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.09-0.002154%0.084-0.20667%-0.03
Joe Dumars0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.04-0.090.01955%-0.013-0.13475%-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.08-0.09-0.011449%-0.072-0.101377%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.61.630.418.329.42.441.3148.0
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +43.6%
DET +5.1%
DET +10.5%
IND -5.2%
IND -3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDDETNBAINDDETNBA
this game16.414.315.8104.3113.899.6
season16.416.6105.4101.4
opponent16.116.097.9101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND19.014.316.615.616.4
DET14.317.612.812.714.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Fred Hoiberg23240.02-0.520.55-0.094-131716.016.5-0.4114.614.20.45
Al Harrington34-0.00-0.500.490.06-2-755.016.7-11.737.014.6-7.61
Dale Davis5554-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-2-7516.516.20.3413.515.3-1.85
Chris Mullin3835-0.12-0.380.250.02-5-4-118.215.13.1714.714.10.63
Rik Smits5250-0.17-0.330.17-0.201-101116.116.7-0.5715.413.02.33
Mark Jackson6058-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-5116.216.6-0.4613.615.4-1.83
Travis Best3436-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.19-5-4-116.616.20.4615.413.61.83
Antonio Davis4648-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.08-90-916.716.10.5913.814.8-0.97
Jalen Rose5659-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.26-4-5115.118.2-3.1714.114.7-0.63
Sam Perkins3232-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.22-6-3-317.215.91.2215.513.61.89
Reggie Miller7170-0.520.02-0.55-0.14-134-1716.516.00.4114.214.6-0.45

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerry Stackhouse63590.76-0.261.020.1720-113113.615.7-2.1716.915.41.47
Don Reid28290.55-0.050.590.0816-72312.415.1-2.7519.515.04.53
Jerome Williams52500.460.040.420.2381714.713.80.9515.317.5-2.25
Grant Hill74730.430.070.360.1410-11113.616.8-3.2615.519.2-3.72
Eric Montross54540.390.110.270.2454115.113.21.8116.615.90.70
Joe Dumars60590.290.210.070.0581713.715.3-1.5816.216.6-0.44
Jud Buechler28270.020.48-0.470.08-211-1314.714.10.6116.716.20.49
Lindsey Hunter6770-0.050.55-0.600.21-918-2714.912.82.0715.618.5-2.83
Loy Vaught2123-0.140.64-0.780.07-716-2316.013.82.2716.616.30.28
Bison Dele2326-0.190.69-0.89-0.08-413-1715.713.81.8617.116.11.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.72,0.59,0.7,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 92, BKN 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,192.8%
CLE 98, BKN 1060.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.89,1,1,192.7%
NJN 96, TOR 980.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.96,0.97,1,192.7%