NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	7.0 [413]		MVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (BKN): +20.0%
Brooklyn Nets	106		Comeback	1.6 [202]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -14.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	22	53%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
LeBron James	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	15	63%	0.14	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Kevin Love	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	11	69%	0.16	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Iman Shumpert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.00	12	69%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.08	-0.01	14	65%	0.20	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	70%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	11	54%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.10	0.01	16	53%	0.16	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.05
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	13	50%	0.08	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cory Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	26.0	15.6	24.3	2.4	38.3	132.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +30.1%

BKN +1.5%

BKN +8.3%

BKN +8.4%

BKN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BKN	NBA	CLE	BKN	NBA
this game	14.2	14.9	15.1	99.0	107.1	104.2
season	15.9	15.3		108.7	102.9
opponent	15.3	14.9		105.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.5	14.7	14.3	15.6	14.2
BKN	14.1	13.5	15.1	17.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	36	35	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.06	8	-16	24	13.2	14.8	-1.60	15.5	14.5	0.98
Kendrick Perkins	12	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-2	-4	12.5	14.4	-1.95	12.2	15.3	-3.14
J.R. Smith	78	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.18	1	-9	10	13.3	17.8	-4.51	15.1	14.2	0.90
Kyrie Irving	80	80	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-9	10	13.7	16.3	-2.54	15.2	13.5	1.74
Kevin Love	65	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.23	0	-8	8	13.8	15.0	-1.24	15.2	14.1	1.11
Matthew Dellavedova	19	19	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	1	-10	16.3	13.7	2.54	13.5	15.2	-1.74
LeBron James	78	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-7	6	14.6	13.0	1.60	15.5	12.8	2.71
Tristan Thompson	46	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	3	-14	15.1	13.5	1.63	14.0	15.6	-1.54
James Jones	20	20	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	0	-8	17.7	13.3	4.43	14.3	15.0	-0.66
Iman Shumpert	61	63	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	7	-22	14.6	13.6	0.94	14.5	15.6	-1.06

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	65	65	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-5	18	14.7	15.3	-0.59	14.5	13.6	0.91
Jarrett Jack	50	49	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-2	12	15.2	14.5	0.73	15.2	13.3	1.88
Alan Anderson	62	60	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-3	14	14.8	15.0	-0.24	14.6	13.6	1.07
Brook Lopez	80	78	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	3	2	15.1	13.8	1.28	13.6	16.5	-2.87
Earl Clark	21	24	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	1	6	14.0	15.1	-1.12	15.4	13.8	1.59
Joe Johnson	79	79	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	9	-10	15.2	13.7	1.41	14.1	14.6	-0.49
Cory Jefferson	5	4	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	4	0	11.4	15.1	-3.66	13.0	14.3	-1.26
Mason Plumlee	50	52	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	10	-12	14.9	14.9	-0.04	14.3	14.1	0.24
Deron Williams	49	50	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	10	-12	14.5	15.2	-0.73	13.3	15.2	-1.88
Markel Brown	34	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	13	-18	15.3	14.7	0.59	13.6	14.5	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.89,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 91, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.99,0.98,1	93.7%
TOR 84, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,1	93.5%
BOS 77, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.1%