NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	6.4 [501]		MVP	Keith Bogans (BKN): +28.0%
Brooklyn Nets	95		Comeback	1.7 [934]		LVP	Jason Richardson (PHI): -18.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	16	67%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	14	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	9	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	16	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	8	44%	0.05	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Jason Richardson	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	10	25%	-0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Bogans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.13	-0.01	6	108%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	17	55%	0.14	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.10	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	3	29%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	14	41%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	11	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.03
Tornike Shengelia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.5	28.4	15.0	22.3	1.7	37.4	130.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +32.8%

BKN +9.2%

PHI -6.8%

BKN +8.8%

BKN +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BKN	NBA	PHI	BKN	NBA
this game	15.5	17.4	15.4	104.5	109.2	104.1
season	15.5	16.5		100.5	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.2	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	16.0	16.6	15.1	15.5
BKN	16.1	17.6	20.5	16.2	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorell Wright	54	51	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.35	15	-18	33	15.2	16.0	-0.77	17.4	17.4	-0.03
Damien Wilkins	5	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.20	-7	4	-11	9.4	15.9	-6.47	15.5	17.6	-2.07
Lavoy Allen	51	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.25	6	-9	15	16.0	14.8	1.28	19.9	14.1	5.77
Nick Young	24	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	2	-7	15.1	15.6	-0.52	13.4	19.1	-5.71
Spencer Hawes	42	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	1	-5	15.0	16.0	-1.05	14.1	20.4	-6.34
Evan Turner	77	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-3	3	15.8	13.5	2.23	17.9	15.0	2.85
Jrue Holiday	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-3	3	15.2	16.4	-1.16	18.2	14.7	3.44
Thaddeus Young	66	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	4	-11	15.4	15.7	-0.30	18.9	13.0	5.86
Jason Richardson	53	54	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.19	-13	10	-23	16.5	14.0	2.49	16.5	18.9	-2.34

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	67	69	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-5	13	18.2	14.9	3.28	15.7	14.8	0.84
Keith Bogans	65	65	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.45	4	-1	5	17.6	16.9	0.75	15.0	16.8	-1.80
Reggie Evans	17	19	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	-2	7	18.9	17.1	1.81	18.9	14.6	4.40
Andray Blatche	36	40	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	4	-5	16.5	18.1	-1.53	16.1	15.0	1.10
CJ Watson	27	27	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	-1	5	15.9	18.1	-2.28	15.8	15.4	0.40
Joe Johnson	72	72	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	1	1	17.7	15.9	1.80	15.3	16.5	-1.22
Brook Lopez	51	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	-1	5	18.1	16.5	1.53	15.0	16.1	-1.10
Gerald Wallace	70	69	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	5	-7	17.1	18.9	-1.81	14.6	18.9	-4.40
Tornike Shengelia	6	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	7	-11	16.5	17.5	-0.99	16.4	15.4	1.01
Jerry Stackhouse	24	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	8	-13	15.9	18.0	-2.14	16.3	15.2	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1	92.9%
IND 98, DET 107	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.72,0.59,0.7,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.8%
NYK 73, ATL 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.8,0.9,0.95,0.89,0.94,0.99,1	92.6%