NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	93		Excitement	6.4 [498]		MVP	Mario Elie (HOU): +21.8%
Golden State Warriors	89		Comeback	2.7 [761]		LVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): -14.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22	0.09	0.12	-0.01	15	65%	0.27	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Brent Price	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.00	4	70%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Eddie Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	0.00	6	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Maloney	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	48%	-0.04	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Charles Barkley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.00	16	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Clyde Drexler	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	16	49%	-0.01	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	8	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	7	73%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	57%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	19	62%	0.09	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Grayer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Madkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Caffey	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	15	56%	0.01	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	15	42%	-0.01	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	22.2	15.7	25.2	1.8	37.2	126.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +18.9%

HOU +13.4%

GSW -3.1%

HOU +21.5%

GSW -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	14.4	15.8	15.6	96.9	93.7	102.5
season	15.7	15.6		104.5	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.2		102.8	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.0	14.1	12.7	18.1	14.4
GSW	15.2	16.6	18.1	13.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Elie	76	76	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.37	10	-6	16	14.3	14.8	-0.56	16.2	14.1	2.13
Kevin Willis	60	57	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.11	11	-7	18	12.9	16.9	-3.97	16.3	15.0	1.26
Hakeem Olajuwon	68	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	1	2	14.9	13.3	1.53	16.6	13.3	3.31
Clyde Drexler	81	79	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	3	-2	14.0	16.4	-2.36	15.2	18.4	-3.15
Brent Price	33	34	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.33	-1	5	-6	16.1	13.5	2.61	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Matt Maloney	63	61	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	-1	6	13.5	16.1	-2.61	16.2	15.0	1.23
Charles Barkley	64	63	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.35	-6	10	-16	15.3	12.6	2.77	14.3	18.6	-4.23
Eddie Johnson	35	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	7	-10	15.5	13.8	1.74	16.0	15.6	0.43

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Grayer	11	12	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-6	8	16.4	15.7	0.69	13.4	14.5	-1.13
Todd Fuller	14	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.13	5	-9	14	11.1	16.6	-5.41	14.7	14.4	0.36
Felton Spencer	8	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-1	-2	16.7	15.7	1.08	10.4	14.7	-4.29
Gerald Madkins	31	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-2	0	15.0	16.1	-1.08	13.3	15.0	-1.69
Duane Ferrell	37	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	3	-10	15.7	15.8	-0.09	14.2	14.5	-0.35
Jim Jackson	90	92	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-4	4	15.6	18.8	-3.21	14.3	17.2	-2.97
Clar. Weatherspoon	72	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-4	4	15.3	17.2	-1.87	15.0	12.6	2.43
Erick Dampier	75	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-3	2	16.2	14.0	2.23	14.8	12.9	1.88
Muggsy Bogues	65	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-2	0	15.9	15.5	0.38	14.6	14.1	0.49
Jason Caffey	72	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	8	-20	16.9	12.3	4.56	14.5	14.1	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.68,0.73,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 92, CHH 82	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.08,0.05,0,0,0	93.4%
DET 92, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.36,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.11,0.16,0	92.7%
NYK 105, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.22,0.2,0.05,0.04,0.01,0	92.3%