NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	6.3 [560]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +7.9%
Charlotte Hornets	82		Comeback	2.5 [281]		LVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): -12.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.03	11	45%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Bowman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	25	61%	0.13	4	-0.14	16	69%	-0.03
Theo Ratliff	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.02	-0.04	10	39%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Matt Geiger	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	5	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	11	54%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	18	49%	-0.01	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	58%	0.05	4	-0.12	10	60%	-0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	54%	0.02	5	-0.12	8	87%	0.03
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	12	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	4	20%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	34.5	17.7	30.0	2.8	36.6	148.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +28.9%

PHI +2.6%

CHH -22.4%

PHI +38.9%

PHI +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHH	NBA	PHI	CHH	NBA
this game	16.4	16.1	15.2	104.5	92.1	101.7
season	15.0	14.9		99.5	101.5
opponent	15.1	15.5		99.2	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.7	14.5	18.1	15.7	16.4
CHH	15.9	16.8	16.1	15.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	82	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-1	12	16.4	16.3	0.11	16.3	13.6	2.66
Theo Ratliff	68	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	6	-2	17.2	13.8	3.34	16.6	14.5	2.02
Eric Snow	74	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	1	8	17.0	13.3	3.74	16.0	16.7	-0.70
Toni Kukoc	37	38	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	-1	12	16.3	16.5	-0.19	16.3	16.0	0.36
George Lynch	58	59	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	3	4	16.6	16.2	0.40	15.9	16.5	-0.53
Matt Geiger	35	35	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	1	8	15.6	17.0	-1.43	16.9	15.6	1.37
Aaron McKie	22	22	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	7	-4	13.2	17.5	-4.27	15.9	16.2	-0.33
Tyrone Hill	60	62	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	8	-6	17.1	14.9	2.26	15.6	17.3	-1.65
Kevin Ollie	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	3.0	16.6	-13.59	8.0	16.2	-8.20
Ira Bowman	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	3.0	16.6	-13.59	8.0	16.2	-8.20
Todd MacCulloch	2	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	12	-14	8.5	16.6	-8.12	8.0	16.2	-8.20

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	62	62	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-13	16	16.3	15.7	0.59	16.3	16.7	-0.42
Elden Campbell	45	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-6	2	17.4	14.8	2.60	16.7	16.2	0.55
Baron Davis	31	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-6	2	15.2	16.6	-1.36	14.2	17.6	-3.34
Brad Miller	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-10	10	15.5	16.9	-1.43	16.8	16.0	0.73
Anthony Mason	84	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-5	0	15.8	21.0	-5.18	16.7	13.3	3.33
David Wesley	64	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	16.7	14.5	2.27	17.0	14.8	2.21
Derrick Coleman	77	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.20	-11	1	-12	15.9	17.4	-1.51	16.7	14.7	2.04
Eddie Robinson	33	31	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.04	-20	10	-30	15.8	16.3	-0.52	15.5	17.0	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.08,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 93, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.68,0.73,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.02,0.01,0	93.4%
MEM 107, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	92.2%
LAL 117, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.02,0.07,0,0,0,0	91.5%