NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	107		Excitement	5.7 [716]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +13.1%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	3.0 [521]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -11.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.03	13	74%	0.19	3	-0.06	9	67%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.04	17	67%	0.20	3	-0.10	17	82%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Young	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
O.J. Mayo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	9	44%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	3	43%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Hamed Haddadi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	56%	0.03	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	10	40%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.01	7	70%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	11	59%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.09	17	64%	0.10	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	15	42%	-0.02	4	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	13	29%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	29.6	16.6	29.3	1.7	48.2	153.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +32.8%

MEM +7.8%

MEM +2.2%

MEM +6.8%

MEM +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DET	NBA	MEM	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	15.5	116.3	104.2	105.7
season	15.5	16.7		106.1	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.5		110.1	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.0	15.0	15.3	14.9	15.1
DET	15.6	15.7	20.6	12.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	89	92	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	3	2	14.9	18.3	-3.39	15.8	13.0	2.83
Zach Randolph	76	79	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	3	2	14.6	17.4	-2.81	15.7	15.9	-0.17
O.J. Mayo	51	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	2	4	14.5	15.7	-1.18	14.1	18.0	-3.87
Darrell Arthur	38	41	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	0	8	15.6	14.7	0.94	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Mike Conley	64	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	7	-6	15.0	15.2	-0.23	16.0	15.2	0.81
Marc Gasol	63	62	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.17	2	6	-4	16.5	12.0	4.51	16.8	13.8	3.03
Greivis Vasquez	28	31	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	1	6	15.2	15.0	0.23	15.2	16.0	-0.81
Sam Young	48	48	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	5	-2	14.6	15.5	-0.94	16.6	14.9	1.71
Hamed Haddadi	3	3	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	5	-2	10.0	15.2	-5.22	11.3	15.9	-4.55

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	50	49	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.22	13	-21	34	15.4	16.1	-0.67	16.7	13.1	3.60
Greg Monroe	57	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-8	8	15.4	16.2	-0.83	16.8	12.4	4.42
Austin Daye	21	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	0	-8	14.9	16.0	-1.07	15.5	14.9	0.55
Tracy McGrady	71	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-5	2	16.0	14.8	1.21	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Tayshaun Prince	74	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-8	8	16.0	14.9	1.07	14.9	15.5	-0.55
Rodney Stuckey	79	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-5	2	15.6	16.3	-0.69	14.9	15.6	-0.65
Ben Gordon	50	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.17	-9	1	-10	13.7	18.0	-4.22	14.5	15.7	-1.20
Charlie Villanueva	53	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	7	-22	16.5	14.7	1.83	13.6	16.9	-3.25
Jason Maxiell	20	19	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	7	-22	19.7	14.7	5.02	12.1	15.8	-3.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 106, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.35,0.29,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,0	93.7%
GSW 84, CHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.34,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.37,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0,0	93.5%
HOU 116, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	93.5%