NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	7.1 [403]		MVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): +27.4%
Orlando Magic	95		Comeback	1.8 [131]		LVP	JJ Redick (ORL): -15.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27	0.09	0.16	-0.02	17	58%	0.27	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
David Lee	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	14	56%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Al Harrington	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.04	25	50%	0.10	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Larry Hughes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	11	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	5	57%	0.01	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	15	62%	0.17	2	-0.07	9	78%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.01	11	55%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	56%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	55%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	11	52%	0.06	6	-0.17	9	44%	-0.11
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	7	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.5	28.2	18.4	26.4	3.4	35.6	142.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +8.4%

NYK +4.1%

NYK +25.1%

NYK +9.1%

NYK +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.4	15.5	110.5	101.1	106.4
season	13.8	15.3		106.2	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.4	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	15.3	15.3	18.4	16.1
ORL	13.6	14.7	13.5	15.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	61	60	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-6	22	16.3	15.7	0.59	13.9	15.1	-1.11
Al Harrington	78	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-4	18	16.4	14.6	1.79	14.2	15.2	-1.08
David Lee	62	61	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.19	14	-4	18	16.0	16.2	-0.19	13.9	15.2	-1.28
Wilson Chandler	77	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-3	16	16.0	16.7	-0.68	14.7	13.2	1.43
Chris Duhon	57	55	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-4	18	16.1	16.1	-0.03	14.4	14.2	0.21
Nate Robinson	39	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	14	-18	16.3	16.0	0.33	14.1	14.5	-0.44
Quentin Richardson	40	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	13	-16	16.0	16.2	-0.16	14.4	14.3	0.07
Chris Wilcox	26	26	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	16	-22	15.5	16.3	-0.85	15.8	13.8	2.07
Larry Hughes	35	36	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.01	-8	18	-26	15.8	16.3	-0.50	14.6	14.2	0.33

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	16	16	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-14	18	15.7	14.1	1.61	15.0	16.3	-1.34
Mickael Pietrus	12	11	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-11	12	15.4	14.2	1.22	15.5	16.2	-0.65
JJ Redick	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-12	14	13.5	14.8	-1.24	15.3	16.5	-1.21
Anthony Johnson	32	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-12	14	14.7	14.1	0.60	15.4	16.4	-1.00
Tony Battie	29	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.06	-3	-7	4	13.5	14.7	-1.21	15.5	16.4	-0.95
Rashard Lewis	65	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	14.7	13.5	1.21	16.4	15.5	0.95
Rafer Alston	62	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.11	-12	2	-14	14.1	14.7	-0.60	16.4	15.4	1.00
Courtney Lee	62	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	2	-14	14.8	13.5	1.24	16.5	15.3	1.21
Hedo Turkoglu	82	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	1	-12	14.2	15.4	-1.22	16.2	15.5	0.65
Dwight Howard	78	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.19	-14	4	-18	14.1	15.7	-1.61	16.3	15.0	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.22,0.2,0.05,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 97, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.19,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.1%
HOU 90, SEA 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.06,0.07,0,0,0	93.6%
UTA 101, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.02,0	93.5%