inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 93 Excitement5.8 [618] MVPMichael Jordan (CHI): +26.8%
Chicago Bulls 107 Comeback3.1 [851] LVPStephon Marbury (MIN): -19.6%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Mitchell0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.110.020.001567%0.1300.00683%0.01
Terry Porter0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.090.060.040.011164%0.0910.0000%0.00
Anthony Peeler0.060,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.12-0.010.041182%0.082-0.0100%0.00
Reggie Jordan-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Cherokee Parks-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00755%-0.011-0.04650%-0.05
Stanley Roberts-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00250%-0.011-0.04250%-0.01
Micheal Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.040.00450%-0.011-0.0500%0.00
Kevin Garnett-0.180,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.10-0.070.011937%-0.112-0.07250%-0.02
Stephon Marbury-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.16-0.05-0.01920%-0.123-0.08250%-0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Jordan0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.230.080.052571%0.2700.00887%0.03
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.02-0.03650%0.0600.002100%0.02
Dennis Rodman0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.02769%0.0500.002100%0.01
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.010.02462%0.0000.0000%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.02-0.021442%0.011-0.023100%0.02
Randy Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00250%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Bill Wennington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Scottie Pippen0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.011550%0.022-0.06650%-0.04
Ron Harper0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.01735%-0.051-0.04367%0.01
Scott Burrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.110.01-0.001020%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.72.424.716.429.42.527.6124.6
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +12.2%
CHI +17.2%
CHI +13.8%
CHI +7.5%
MIN -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINCHINBAMINCHINBA
this game15.617.615.6108.1123.0102.5
season14.816.2105.3105.8
opponent15.815.797.9104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN15.118.316.013.615.6
CHI17.617.718.217.117.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Micheal Williams24250.21-0.710.91-0.0910-243417.215.02.1220.816.44.49
Reggie Jordan19180.03-0.530.55-0.032-161815.715.60.1221.716.65.07
Terry Porter46460.01-0.510.52-0.021-151615.216.2-1.0019.215.93.25
Stanley Roberts4547-0.17-0.330.15-0.06-4-10616.614.61.9216.519.0-2.51
Cherokee Parks3231-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.14-5-9416.715.01.6720.715.94.76
Anthony Peeler5557-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.01-140-1415.515.9-0.4116.320.2-3.85
Sam Mitchell7477-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.07-140-1415.119.2-4.2016.526.4-9.89
Kevin Garnett7372-0.670.17-0.84-0.03-228-3015.615.9-0.3317.419.0-1.64
Stephon Marbury6262-0.710.21-0.91-0.00-2410-3415.017.2-2.1216.420.8-4.49

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Jordan72690.66-0.160.830.1119-52416.821.8-5.0215.416.5-1.04
Ron Harper57560.490.010.49-0.0418-42215.621.6-5.9915.016.8-1.78
Scottie Pippen68680.490.010.480.0515-11616.222.7-6.4515.416.4-0.95
Toni Kukoc55550.460.040.420.2095418.915.53.4416.514.12.36
Dennis Rodman65650.420.080.34-0.0817-32017.219.0-1.8815.117.2-2.05
Scott Burrell46460.280.220.070.0586218.416.81.6315.415.9-0.49
Steve Kerr2929-0.030.53-0.570.20-822-3020.416.24.2116.815.11.74
Jud Buechler1212-0.060.56-0.61-0.09113-1215.718.0-2.2915.515.7-0.16
Randy Brown2019-0.060.56-0.620.03-317-2023.016.06.9615.815.60.26
Bill Wennington1111-0.160.66-0.820.01-620-2621.017.23.8417.715.32.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 128, PHX 1360.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.61,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.91,0.99,193.1%
DET 87, DEN 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.98,1,1,192.9%
GSW 102, MIL 1090.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.97,0.96,192.9%