NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	5.8 [618]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +26.8%
Chicago Bulls	107		Comeback	3.1 [851]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -19.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	15	67%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Terry Porter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	11	64%	0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	-0.01	0.04	11	82%	0.08	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	55%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.05
Stanley Roberts	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Micheal Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	19	37%	-0.11	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	9	20%	-0.12	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.23	0.08	0.05	25	71%	0.27	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	14	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	15	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	35%	-0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	0.01	-0.00	10	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.4	24.7	16.4	29.4	2.5	27.6	124.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +12.2%

CHI +17.2%

CHI +13.8%

CHI +7.5%

MIN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	17.6	15.6	108.1	123.0	102.5
season	14.8	16.2		105.3	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.7		97.9	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.1	18.3	16.0	13.6	15.6
CHI	17.6	17.7	18.2	17.1	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Micheal Williams	24	25	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.09	10	-24	34	17.2	15.0	2.12	20.8	16.4	4.49
Reggie Jordan	19	18	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-16	18	15.7	15.6	0.12	21.7	16.6	5.07
Terry Porter	46	46	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-15	16	15.2	16.2	-1.00	19.2	15.9	3.25
Stanley Roberts	45	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-10	6	16.6	14.6	1.92	16.5	19.0	-2.51
Cherokee Parks	32	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-9	4	16.7	15.0	1.67	20.7	15.9	4.76
Anthony Peeler	55	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	0	-14	15.5	15.9	-0.41	16.3	20.2	-3.85
Sam Mitchell	74	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.07	-14	0	-14	15.1	19.2	-4.20	16.5	26.4	-9.89
Kevin Garnett	73	72	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.03	-22	8	-30	15.6	15.9	-0.33	17.4	19.0	-1.64
Stephon Marbury	62	62	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.00	-24	10	-34	15.0	17.2	-2.12	16.4	20.8	-4.49

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	72	69	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.11	19	-5	24	16.8	21.8	-5.02	15.4	16.5	-1.04
Ron Harper	57	56	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.04	18	-4	22	15.6	21.6	-5.99	15.0	16.8	-1.78
Scottie Pippen	68	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-1	16	16.2	22.7	-6.45	15.4	16.4	-0.95
Toni Kukoc	55	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	5	4	18.9	15.5	3.44	16.5	14.1	2.36
Dennis Rodman	65	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-3	20	17.2	19.0	-1.88	15.1	17.2	-2.05
Scott Burrell	46	46	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	6	2	18.4	16.8	1.63	15.4	15.9	-0.49
Steve Kerr	29	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.20	-8	22	-30	20.4	16.2	4.21	16.8	15.1	1.74
Jud Buechler	12	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.09	1	13	-12	15.7	18.0	-2.29	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Randy Brown	20	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	17	-20	23.0	16.0	6.96	15.8	15.6	0.26
Bill Wennington	11	11	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.01	-6	20	-26	21.0	17.2	3.84	17.7	15.3	2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 128, PHX 136	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.61,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.85,0.91,0.99,1	93.1%
DET 87, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	92.9%
GSW 102, MIL 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.97,0.96,1	92.9%