NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	102		Excitement	7.3 [357]		MVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): +16.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	109		Comeback	2.6 [538]		LVP	David Lee (GSW): -22.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.02	12	54%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.02	19	60%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Harrison Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	21	45%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.21,-0.22	-0.11	-0.09	0.02	18	33%	-0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.00	15	59%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	9	80%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	17	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.04	0.02	20	43%	0.03	4	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	0.00	0.00	12	27%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	26.2	14.7	24.6	2.6	30.4	122.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +22.5%

GSW -10.1%

MIL +17.3%

MIL +20.4%

GSW -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIL	NBA	GSW	MIL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.5	15.4	102.0	109.0	104.1
season	14.6	14.7		104.6	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.9	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	15.4	14.4	13.9	14.3
MIL	14.3	13.4	13.9	16.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Jenkins	1	0	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-7	7	3.0	14.4	-11.37	0.0	14.5	-14.54
Kent Bazemore	1	0	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-7	7	3.0	14.4	-11.37	0.0	14.5	-14.54
Richard Jefferson	25	26	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-7	7	15.3	13.9	1.41	14.3	14.6	-0.37
Carl Landry	63	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.25	7	-14	21	14.8	13.3	1.53	14.6	14.5	0.11
Harrison Barnes	29	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.04	-3	-4	1	13.1	14.7	-1.63	15.4	14.2	1.28
Andris Biedrins	29	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-4	1	15.0	14.0	0.99	12.5	15.4	-2.90
Festus Ezeli	23	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	2	-11	13.7	14.4	-0.79	14.9	14.4	0.48
Draymond Green	23	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	3	-13	14.1	14.3	-0.22	12.7	15.0	-2.37
David Lee	78	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-5	3	14.2	14.3	-0.07	15.1	12.3	2.85
Klay Thompson	81	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-4	1	13.6	16.9	-3.32	15.1	12.3	2.81
Jarrett Jack	70	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	14.9	12.8	2.13	14.2	15.4	-1.28
Stephen Curry	77	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.31	-8	1	-9	14.2	14.3	-0.06	14.6	14.3	0.25

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	83	82	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-2	11	14.1	16.8	-2.75	13.6	17.2	-3.54
Ersan Ilyasova	75	73	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.36	4	3	1	14.5	14.8	-0.35	13.5	16.3	-2.74
Brandon Jennings	80	81	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	6	-5	15.0	12.5	2.55	13.6	17.1	-3.51
Samuel Dalembert	39	38	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	0	7	13.9	14.9	-1.01	14.7	14.0	0.73
Larry Sanders	61	62	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	7	-7	14.9	13.9	1.01	14.0	14.7	-0.73
Mike Dunleavy	36	38	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	-1	9	12.9	15.5	-2.54	14.1	14.4	-0.33
Luc Mbah a Moute	56	57	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	6	-5	15.3	13.6	1.74	14.4	14.1	0.25
Ekpe Udoh	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	1	5	12.8	14.9	-2.08	17.4	13.6	3.82
Marquis Daniels	12	12	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.04	3	4	-1	14.6	14.5	0.05	16.8	13.9	2.92
Beno Udrih	40	39	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	11	-15	15.8	13.7	2.10	16.2	13.0	3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 92, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1	94.1%
IND 95, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.77,0.85,1	93.6%
PHX 83, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.58,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.99,1	93.4%