NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	6.0 [587]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +13.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	1.8 [889]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -13.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11	0.12	-0.01	-0.00	24	68%	0.21	3	-0.10	14	93%	0.06
Vinny Del Negro	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mario Elie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.12	0.01	-0.01	16	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.07
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	5	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	9	35%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.02	11	83%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	3	87%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	8	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	15	53%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	9	52%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	18%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	9	58%	0.02	5	-0.15	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	29.6	15.7	28.2	2.4	33.5	135.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.5%

POR +1.1%

POR +11.1%

PHX -8.0%

POR +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	16.2	15.5	97.9	107.5	100.9
season	14.9	15.8		97.7	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.4		100.3	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.2	14.4	15.4	14.5	14.6
POR	17.9	16.3	14.0	16.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	18	17	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-13	18	14.3	14.7	-0.38	16.5	16.1	0.44
Shawn Marion	78	78	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.29	9	-17	26	14.5	15.2	-0.66	16.7	13.3	3.38
Daniel Santiago	4	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-5	2	18.2	14.5	3.77	15.2	16.2	-1.03
Vinny Del Negro	32	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-12	16	14.1	14.9	-0.83	15.1	16.7	-1.66
Mario Elie	31	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-6	4	15.3	14.3	0.97	15.9	16.3	-0.40
Tony Delk	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	14.2	15.0	-0.78	16.4	16.0	0.44
Rodney Rogers	59	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-2	-4	14.2	15.4	-1.21	15.6	17.2	-1.52
Jake Tsakalidis	45	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	6	-20	15.9	13.5	2.44	16.0	16.3	-0.23
Clifford Robinson	76	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.20	-14	6	-20	14.4	15.6	-1.13	16.2	16.2	0.01
Jason Kidd	81	80	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.24	-14	6	-20	14.7	14.5	0.12	16.5	14.2	2.35

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	45	45	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-2	12	15.3	17.0	-1.67	15.3	14.0	1.29
Damon Stoudamire	66	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.24	7	1	6	16.7	14.8	1.96	14.8	14.4	0.37
Dale Davis	70	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	4	0	16.5	15.2	1.33	15.0	13.5	1.58
Rasheed Wallace	59	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-3	14	15.8	16.9	-1.07	15.3	13.4	1.97
Bonzi Wells	51	53	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.09	9	-1	10	16.0	16.4	-0.38	14.5	14.9	-0.43
Steven Smith	51	52	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	8	-8	16.3	16.0	0.27	14.1	15.3	-1.17
Stacey Augmon	42	43	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	2	4	16.1	16.2	-0.10	14.2	15.0	-0.88
Greg Anthony	27	29	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	7	-6	14.8	16.7	-1.96	14.4	14.8	-0.37
Detlef Schrempf	28	26	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	13	-18	15.2	16.6	-1.37	14.8	14.6	0.23
Shawn Kemp	26	27	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	11	-14	18.9	15.1	3.77	12.9	15.4	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1	94.3%
MIN 117, DAL 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.3%
LAL 96, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%