NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	93		Excitement	5.7 [650]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +12.5%
Washington Bullets	104		Comeback	1.6 [1031]		LVP	Rony Seikaly (ORL): -21.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	14	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Strong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	60%	0.05	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Dan Schayes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	7	21%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.07	0.03	23	41%	-0.13	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Rony Seikaly	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.06	0.04	10	58%	-0.05	6	-0.16	13	85%	-0.01

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.04	-0.04	19	57%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	8	55%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Lorenzo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	10	58%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	16	56%	0.02	3	-0.09	16	81%	0.03
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	0.02	-0.02	21	38%	-0.02	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.7	28.0	16.8	26.3	2.3	37.2	139.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +25.0%

WAS +2.8%

WAS +7.1%

WAS +15.4%

ORL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	WAS	NBA	ORL	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	14.7	15.6	98.9	110.6	104.4
season	16.4	14.8		102.9	104.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.3	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.1	16.3	18.2	14.6	16.0
WAS	14.2	18.0	12.6	14.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	33	32	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-14	17	16.1	15.9	0.13	14.4	14.8	-0.34
Darrell Armstrong	21	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-8	5	17.0	15.7	1.25	17.8	13.8	3.99
Dan Schayes	16	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-8	5	16.8	15.8	1.00	17.1	14.1	3.00
Brian Shaw	24	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-7	3	14.5	16.5	-2.04	12.3	15.5	-3.18
Rony Seikaly	75	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	15.9	16.4	-0.55	14.2	16.5	-2.34
Dennis Scott	76	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	-2	-7	15.9	16.1	-0.16	14.6	14.9	-0.31
Nick Anderson	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	1	-13	16.0	16.0	-0.09	14.7	14.5	0.27
Anfernee Hardaway	86	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	-2	-7	15.7	18.5	-2.76	14.0	24.2	-10.16
Derek Strong	68	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.22	-10	-1	-9	16.5	14.7	1.73	15.4	12.5	2.84

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	84	83	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	0	11	14.9	12.4	2.53	16.8	9.6	7.18
Calbert Cheaney	79	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-1	13	14.6	14.9	-0.25	15.9	16.2	-0.26
Juwan Howard	83	81	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	4	3	15.3	9.5	5.89	16.7	11.3	5.42
Harvey Grant	43	45	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	-2	15	13.1	16.0	-2.89	17.5	14.6	2.90
Chris Webber	84	86	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	5	1	15.0	11.5	3.54	15.7	18.5	-2.76
Tracy Murray	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	8	-5	15.1	14.3	0.83	14.6	17.1	-2.51
Lorenzo Williams	23	22	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	8	-5	12.8	15.3	-2.48	14.8	16.3	-1.52
Jaren Jackson	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	11	-11	14.9	14.6	0.33	15.0	16.3	-1.28
Chris Whitney	10	11	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	11	-11	12.4	14.9	-2.53	9.6	16.8	-7.18
Ben Wallace	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	9	-7	5.2	15.1	-9.83	6.5	16.4	-9.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	94.9%
NOH 93, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
LAC 81, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%