NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	93		Excitement	5.5 [676]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +19.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	1.8 [748]		LVP	Dale Davis (POR): -12.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.04	6	88%	0.09	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
David Wesley	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	17	58%	0.09	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Jamal Mashburn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	16	56%	0.04	3	-0.11	7	86%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.08	-0.02	19	64%	0.23	1	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	4	80%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.03	14	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Qyntel Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	8	18%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	3	42%	-0.08	2	-0.04	6	17%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.5	29.3	15.3	28.6	1.7	30.0	129.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +17.6%

POR +4.1%

POR +16.6%

POR +15.1%

NOH -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	POR	NBA	NOH	POR	NBA
this game	16.1	16.4	15.5	105.7	114.6	101.6
season	15.9	16.0		101.6	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		101.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.4	17.7	17.3	16.2	16.1
POR	17.2	16.6	16.1	15.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	10	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-8	7	18.6	15.8	2.82	15.2	16.6	-1.35
Courtney Alexander	22	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-6	3	17.5	15.6	1.92	17.2	16.2	0.98
Elden Campbell	31	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-9	9	17.5	15.3	2.23	17.7	15.8	1.85
Robert Traylor	24	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-8	7	16.0	16.2	-0.20	18.5	15.7	2.82
Stacey Augmon	23	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-5	1	17.0	15.8	1.22	16.0	16.6	-0.53
Baron Davis	74	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-6	3	15.3	20.4	-5.06	16.8	14.3	2.49
P.J. Brown	64	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-1	-7	16.2	16.0	0.20	15.7	18.5	-2.82
Jamaal Magloire	57	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	0	-9	15.3	17.5	-2.23	15.8	17.7	-1.85
David Wesley	63	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	16.3	15.5	0.87	16.3	16.9	-0.61
Jamal Mashburn	72	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	15.6	18.2	-2.55	16.3	17.3	-1.00

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	72	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-10	29	15.8	19.1	-3.24	16.7	13.8	2.90
Bonzi Wells	79	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	0	9	16.7	14.7	1.96	15.5	20.5	-5.08
Scottie Pippen	67	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-9	27	15.9	18.0	-2.07	16.9	13.7	3.20
Derek Anderson	63	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	-2	13	15.9	17.8	-1.93	16.4	15.4	1.04
Dale Davis	51	51	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	2	5	16.3	16.7	-0.43	16.6	15.4	1.30
Arvydas Sabonis	32	33	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	2	5	16.5	16.4	0.05	15.7	16.4	-0.70
Ruben Patterson	36	36	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	11	-13	16.9	16.1	0.85	16.9	15.5	1.43
Zach Randolph	20	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	17	-25	18.5	15.8	2.72	14.2	16.6	-2.48
Jeff McInnis	22	21	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.27	-9	18	-27	18.0	15.9	2.07	13.7	16.9	-3.20
Qyntel Woods	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	16	-23	20.0	16.3	3.69	8.0	16.3	-8.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 81, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
ORL 93, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1	94.9%
LAC 81, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%