NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	100		Excitement	10.7 [31]		MVP	Marcus Camby (TOR): +12.7%
Golden State Warriors	98		Comeback	88.3 [10]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (GSW): -44.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.13	-0.02	0.16	0.02	17	52%	0.16	1	-0.03	10	50%	0.01
Sharone Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
John Wallace	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.04	-0.02	13	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.10
Chauncey Billups	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.01	11	64%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.1,-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	21	55%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Reggie Slater	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	7	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Oliver Miller	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21	-0.15	-0.08	-0.02	9	11%	-0.09	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.39,-0.39	-0.05	-0.34	-0.00	9	45%	-0.25	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.03	-0.05	18	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	6	7%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	13	50%	-0.12	2	-0.03	10	60%	-0.04
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.12	0.02	6	50%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.18,-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.16	-0.00	8	50%	-0.10	1	-0.11	8	50%	-0.12
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.26,-0.37	-0.37	-0.10	-0.28	-0.01	19	42%	-0.16	4	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.27,-0.33,-0.44	-0.44	-0.15	-0.31	-0.02	22	38%	-0.35	3	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.8	2.3	22.3	14.8	30.2	2.3	37.6	1.5	20.1	156.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +24.6%

TOR +50.0%

GSW -24.5%

TOR +9.6%

GSW -9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	GSW	NBA	TOR	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	14.6	15.6	95.2	87.5	102.5
season	15.5	15.6		98.7	92.9
opponent	15.0	14.8		102.8	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	14.1	14.6	16.7	14.8	10.7	14.7
GSW	13.6	14.8	12.3	16.5	18.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	80	87	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.63	11	-9	20	14.2	16.1	-1.91	14.8	14.2	0.57
Dee Brown	54	56	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-12	26	15.0	14.3	0.76	15.1	14.2	0.96
Chauncey Billups	78	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.55	-3	5	-8	14.7	14.5	0.25	15.2	13.1	2.12
Doug Christie	91	98	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.42	-2	4	-6	14.3	16.8	-2.45	14.6	14.9	-0.33
John Wallace	64	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.47	-5	7	-12	14.2	15.5	-1.31	14.5	14.9	-0.45
Oliver Miller	72	74	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.48	-6	8	-14	14.2	15.8	-1.59	15.2	13.6	1.65
Sharone Wright	13	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	2	-2	15.1	14.6	0.47	14.1	14.7	-0.65
Tracy McGrady	32	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.21	5	-3	8	15.7	14.2	1.42	12.8	15.4	-2.67
John Thomas	5	4	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	8	-14	19.8	14.4	5.39	6.5	14.9	-8.44
Reggie Slater	36	40	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.26	2	0	2	16.0	14.0	1.99	14.5	14.7	-0.26

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	44	41	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.44	-10	8	-18	14.2	14.9	-0.65	14.7	14.6	0.11
Jason Caffey	25	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	6	-14	14.3	14.7	-0.47	13.7	14.9	-1.19
Clar. Weatherspoon	89	84	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.54	10	-12	22	14.7	14.3	0.43	14.8	14.0	0.89
Jim Jackson	96	91	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.46	7	-9	16	14.9	12.8	2.14	14.7	14.6	0.03
Todd Fuller	47	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-2	2	14.5	14.7	-0.23	15.3	14.2	1.09
Erick Dampier	66	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	2	-6	14.5	14.8	-0.27	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Donyell Marshall	96	90	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.42	-5	3	-8	14.9	13.0	1.92	14.9	13.5	1.40
Muggsy Bogues	85	79	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.74	-1	-1	0	14.3	15.6	-1.25	14.4	15.3	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.78,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, DET 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.52,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.96,0.9,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.28,0	88.6%
MIA 106, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.83,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	88.4%
NOP 123, NYK 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.77,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.46,0.55,0.16,0	87.9%