NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	7.7 [252]		MVP	Rex Chapman (PHX): +26.1%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	3.2 [197]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -12.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	8	55%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Mario Bennett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.07	-0.08	0.02	10	83%	0.15	4	-0.19	4	75%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.01	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	22	55%	0.02	3	-0.11	11	55%	-0.05
Kobe Bryant	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Rick Fox	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	10	50%	-0.02	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.12	0.00	19	63%	0.26	0	0.00	3	100%	0.06
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.12	-0.02	10	70%	0.22	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	12	76%	0.16	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	11	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	21	43%	0.01	3	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	8	44%	0.04	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.4	23.5	15.7	27.2	2.5	39.4	139.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +42.6%

LAL -15.7%

PHX +0.0%

PHX +20.7%

PHX +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	15.6	105.1	114.6	102.5
season	14.8	15.0		110.0	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.6		100.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.8	16.5	15.3	13.2	14.3
PHX	12.5	16.3	17.4	16.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Bennett	35	36	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-5	3	14.1	14.4	-0.31	12.9	16.9	-3.96
Eddie Jones	67	66	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-10	13	14.9	12.9	1.97	16.5	13.1	3.37
Jon Barry	7	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-4	1	12.3	14.4	-2.15	15.6	15.4	0.17
Robert Horry	17	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-3	-1	14.9	14.1	0.79	15.2	15.5	-0.31
Kobe Bryant	54	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-8	9	13.5	15.3	-1.79	14.3	16.5	-2.18
Corie Blount	18	15	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-2	-3	13.6	14.4	-0.89	16.8	15.2	1.64
Elden Campbell	53	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-4	1	14.4	14.2	0.20	17.0	13.7	3.22
Shaquille O'Neal	73	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-3	-1	14.6	13.4	1.24	15.5	15.0	0.47
Derek Fisher	90	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	-1	-5	14.3	13.6	0.72	15.5	14.2	1.32
Rick Fox	76	77	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.34	-12	5	-17	14.2	14.7	-0.51	14.9	17.6	-2.70

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	81	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.39	5	2	3	15.2	16.6	-1.40	14.2	14.5	-0.26
Antonio McDyess	79	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	3	1	15.1	16.8	-1.64	14.1	15.4	-1.38
Rex Chapman	72	69	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	2	3	15.0	16.7	-1.72	13.9	15.1	-1.21
George McCloud	34	38	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.30	2	5	-3	16.1	15.0	1.04	14.4	14.2	0.22
Hot Rod Williams	39	39	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	0	7	17.3	14.1	3.14	15.1	13.8	1.31
Clifford Robinson	63	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	6	-5	15.4	15.5	-0.15	14.3	14.3	-0.05
Danny Manning	39	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	5	-3	15.3	15.5	-0.23	14.3	14.3	-0.01
Kevin Johnson	24	29	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	3	1	16.7	15.0	1.72	15.1	13.9	1.21
Mark Bryant	34	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.06	1	6	-5	13.5	16.5	-2.92	13.8	14.5	-0.75
Steve Nash	15	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.15	4	3	1	16.6	15.2	1.40	14.5	14.2	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.65,0.69,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, NYK 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.96,1,0.98,1	93.1%
SAC 74, BOS 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	92.0%
WAS 101, NJN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.49,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.77,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	91.7%