NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	6.9 [463]		MVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): +26.6%
New Jersey Nets	113		Comeback	2.9 [651]		LVP	Marcus Williams (NJN): -7.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.05	0.02	11	82%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	16	55%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	47%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	5	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Etan Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	4	75%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	12	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	25	43%	0.05	4	-0.12	11	82%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.13	0.02	10	77%	0.29	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.19	0.07	0.02	17	74%	0.28	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	75%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.06	0.01	10	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Hassan Adams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	24	47%	0.04	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	30.0	15.5	26.5	2.5	34.6	136.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +29.9%

NJN +5.5%

NJN +13.4%

WAS -1.0%

NJN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NJN	NBA	WAS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	15.4	108.6	120.2	104.5
season	14.8	15.4		107.8	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.8	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.5	13.2	17.2	14.7	15.1
NJN	16.5	16.2	14.1	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etan Thomas	29	28	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.10	9	-21	30	12.4	16.3	-3.95	15.9	15.6	0.22
Donell Taylor	12	13	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.15	9	-21	30	13.4	15.3	-1.93	16.3	15.6	0.70
Darius Songaila	53	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-10	8	14.2	16.2	-1.98	15.7	15.7	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	39	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-8	4	15.1	15.1	-0.08	16.1	15.4	0.69
Calvin Booth	23	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-12	12	15.3	15.0	0.22	14.8	16.0	-1.24
Jarvis Hayes	80	81	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-3	-6	15.0	15.6	-0.60	15.7	16.0	-0.35
DeShawn Stevenson	64	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	2	-16	15.3	14.7	0.54	15.6	15.8	-0.20
Brendan Haywood	41	42	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.02	-17	5	-22	16.6	13.9	2.75	15.1	16.2	-1.05
Andray Blatche	43	43	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	-1	-10	16.4	14.0	2.37	16.5	15.0	1.53
Gilbert Arenas	81	81	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.00	-21	9	-30	15.3	13.4	1.93	15.6	16.3	-0.70

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	71	71	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.07	28	-16	44	15.9	15.0	0.93	15.7	13.1	2.63
Jason Kidd	64	66	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.09	25	-13	38	15.9	15.3	0.59	15.6	13.9	1.75
Jason Collins	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	-5	22	15.8	15.6	0.19	15.6	14.3	1.35
Mikki Moore	42	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	1	10	15.4	15.9	-0.54	15.8	14.5	1.30
Hassan Adams	30	29	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	3	6	15.7	15.7	0.05	17.5	14.0	3.47
Bostjan Nachbar	58	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.21	-4	16	-20	15.8	15.6	0.15	13.7	17.2	-3.52
Clifford Robinson	51	51	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	15	-18	15.3	16.2	-0.93	14.6	15.7	-1.17
Eddie House	57	56	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	17	-22	15.8	15.6	0.18	13.9	16.9	-3.07
Josh Boone	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	17	-22	16.3	15.6	0.70	15.2	15.1	0.14
Marcus Williams	30	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.24	-13	25	-38	15.3	15.9	-0.59	13.9	15.6	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.49,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.77,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 81, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.82,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.91,1	92.2%
LAL 103, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.65,0.69,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.91,1	91.7%
NJN 86, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	91.6%