NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	95		Excitement	7.2 [388]		MVP	Landry Fields (NYK): +16.9%
New York Knicks	103		Comeback	2.2 [576]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): -25.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.08	0.02	12	54%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Ronnie Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	46%	0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.09
Keith Bogans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	45%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.09	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.02	28	42%	0.04	7	-0.22	3	33%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25	-0.10	-0.11	0.04	25	46%	-0.02	7	-0.23	7	57%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Fields	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.05	-0.01	7	87%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	2	150%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.10	-0.01	18	56%	0.22	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	68%	0.16	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.02
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	14	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	0.00	18	53%	0.03	7	-0.22	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.4	31.4	19.4	25.3	3.5	37.4	144.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +69.7%

CHI -7.1%

CHI -13.4%

CHI -3.2%

NYK +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	13.4	15.5	95.0	100.0	105.7
season	15.7	14.3		106.5	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.9		108.4	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.7	16.0	15.3	13.8	15.0
NYK	11.6	14.0	12.3	16.1	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	54	57	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-11	14	14.4	15.7	-1.26	14.3	12.4	1.91
Keith Bogans	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-4	0	15.5	14.7	0.87	11.4	14.5	-3.09
Omer Asik	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-3	-2	16.1	14.8	1.28	12.5	13.6	-1.07
Taj Gibson	27	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-6	4	16.4	14.5	1.92	11.9	14.0	-2.11
Kyle Korver	40	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-7	6	14.7	15.1	-0.41	15.1	12.4	2.66
CJ Watson	15	15	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-3	-2	21.2	13.9	7.33	15.9	13.0	2.93
Derrick Rose	89	93	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-5	2	14.2	21.3	-7.08	13.2	15.9	-2.74
Ronnie Brewer	49	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	15.3	14.6	0.70	14.1	12.8	1.31
Luol Deng	88	91	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	14.0	22.3	-8.37	13.1	15.7	-2.53
Carlos Boozer	88	90	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	5	-18	15.1	13.7	1.39	13.4	13.8	-0.39

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	65	65	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.21	12	-4	16	13.5	13.3	0.18	14.6	15.7	-1.15
Landry Fields	83	81	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	-2	12	13.6	12.7	0.90	15.3	13.7	1.52
Raymond Felton	89	87	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-1	10	13.0	16.2	-3.23	14.7	16.8	-2.07
Ronny Turiaf	28	25	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	2	4	13.4	13.4	-0.05	18.7	13.7	4.95
Amar'e Stoudemire	80	80	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	6	-4	13.4	13.4	0.05	14.2	18.0	-3.79
Danilo Gallinari	83	80	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	6	-4	13.1	14.9	-1.89	14.0	18.7	-4.72
Toney Douglas	44	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	8	-8	14.2	12.8	1.44	16.3	14.0	2.28
Shawne Williams	43	41	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	9	-10	13.8	13.2	0.58	15.3	14.7	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.96,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 76, POR 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	93.3%
LAL 103, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.65,0.69,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.91,1	93.1%
CHA 73, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	92.8%