NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	86		Excitement	2.8 [1158]		MVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): +7.4%
San Antonio Spurs	109		Comeback	1.2 [1194]		LVP	Lamond Murray (LAC): -10.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Collins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.01	0.06	4	110%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	11	43%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Maurice Taylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	15	53%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	54%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.11	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.20	-0.02	-0.11	15	25%	-0.04	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.21	-0.00	-0.11	11	17%	-0.10	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	5	87%	0.08	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.00	0.06	7	107%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.01	0.07	15	79%	0.11	3	-0.05	9	78%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	17	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	29%	0.00	1	0.00	3	0%	-0.01
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	45%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	11	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	24.2	16.5	23.5	2.5	23.3	117.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.3%

SAS +5.0%

SAS +6.5%

SAS +0.5%

SAS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.6	95.6	118.5	102.5
season	15.5	15.9		101.0	100.9
opponent	15.9	15.1		97.2	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	18.4	15.1	16.5	16.5
SAS	16.0	12.9	14.9	17.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Robinson	9	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-19	15	22.9	15.8	7.09	15.6	15.1	0.52
Stojko Vrankovic	11	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-19	15	16.5	16.5	-0.06	15.9	15.0	0.88
Lorenzen Wright	48	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-21	19	16.2	16.8	-0.56	16.1	14.1	1.99
James Collins	22	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-27	31	13.4	17.5	-4.17	15.7	15.0	0.72
Darrick Martin	41	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.19	-11	-12	1	15.7	17.2	-1.48	15.0	15.3	-0.37
Lamond Murray	60	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.37	-21	-2	-19	17.4	14.6	2.82	14.5	16.4	-1.81
Pooh Richardson	40	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-15	7	15.9	17.0	-1.10	15.3	15.1	0.20
Keith Closs	36	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-17	11	15.9	16.9	-1.08	14.8	15.4	-0.62
Maurice Taylor	52	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-9	-5	16.7	16.2	0.57	15.2	15.1	0.04
Rodney Rogers	63	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.26	-22	-1	-21	16.0	17.7	-1.70	15.1	15.3	-0.23
Eric Piatkowski	68	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.40	-27	4	-31	17.5	13.4	4.17	15.0	15.7	-0.72

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Perdue	57	56	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.17	23	0	23	14.5	16.1	-1.60	15.3	18.5	-3.15
Avery Johnson	56	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	4	15	14.6	16.0	-1.39	15.7	17.9	-2.16
Tim Duncan	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.47	30	-7	37	15.2	15.0	0.21	17.3	14.3	2.96
Jaren Jackson	37	37	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	8	7	14.2	15.8	-1.66	15.5	17.2	-1.79
David Robinson	52	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.44	25	-2	27	14.4	16.1	-1.68	16.8	16.1	0.75
Vinny Del Negro	45	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.30	17	6	11	15.0	15.3	-0.30	18.1	15.0	3.14
Chuck Person	42	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.18	12	11	1	15.6	14.7	0.90	18.4	15.1	3.35
Monty Williams	20	20	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	25	-27	14.8	15.2	-0.45	14.0	17.2	-3.16
Reggie Geary	14	13	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	19	-15	14.5	15.3	-0.77	20.0	15.9	4.08
Carl Herrera	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.31	-10	33	-43	15.6	15.0	0.62	16.7	16.4	0.33
Cory Alexander	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	32	-41	19.5	14.6	4.88	13.0	16.9	-3.90
Malik Rose	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	32	-41	19.5	14.6	4.88	13.0	16.9	-3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 87, DET 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
HOU 66, DET 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
MIL 88, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%