NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	66		Excitement	2.8 [1186]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +8.7%
Detroit Pistons	85		Comeback	1.3 [1015]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): -13.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	12	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Wilks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	3	83%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	12	31%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.00	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	16	38%	-0.07	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.04
Maurice Taylor	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	12	21%	-0.13	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	76%	0.09	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	7	59%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	14	45%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.5	31.6	15.7	27.2	3.2	22.7	126.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +20.4%

DET +7.9%

DET +3.9%

DET +16.5%

DET +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DET	NBA	HOU	DET	NBA
this game	16.5	17.2	15.7	77.6	98.8	100.5
season	16.5	16.2		98.8	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.6		92.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.9	17.8	16.0	16.1	16.5
DET	18.4	14.9	15.3	20.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	15.7	16.6	-0.89	18.4	17.1	1.33
Scott Padgett	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-23	27	14.9	17.0	-2.12	18.7	16.6	2.06
Bostjan Nachbar	7	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-22	25	11.3	16.9	-5.64	17.5	17.2	0.31
Mike Wilks	15	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-16	13	16.7	16.4	0.25	17.9	17.1	0.88
Eric Piatkowski	40	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-16	13	16.2	16.7	-0.54	18.3	16.3	1.99
Kelvin Cato	49	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	-5	-9	16.9	15.8	1.09	16.5	18.2	-1.63
Maurice Taylor	54	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-11	3	15.2	18.6	-3.44	16.8	18.0	-1.24
Jim Jackson	64	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-4	-11	16.1	17.5	-1.35	16.5	19.5	-3.00
Steve Francis	70	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-3	-13	16.4	16.7	-0.25	17.1	17.9	-0.88
Yao Ming	34	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	2	-23	19.5	14.4	5.07	17.6	17.0	0.56
Cuttino Mobley	60	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.19	-24	5	-29	17.3	14.3	3.03	17.3	17.0	0.26

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	59	61	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.27	27	-8	35	17.6	16.4	1.24	17.2	14.5	2.79
Ben Wallace	69	67	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.11	17	2	15	17.3	16.7	0.64	16.6	15.8	0.79
Tayshaun Prince	63	60	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	8	3	16.7	18.7	-2.07	15.7	18.3	-2.64
Mehmet Okur	44	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	3	13	16.4	18.1	-1.71	17.4	15.5	1.90
Chucky Atkins	48	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	11	-3	17.4	16.9	0.49	15.9	17.1	-1.20
Chauncey Billups	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.18	13	6	7	16.2	18.1	-1.82	16.1	16.7	-0.58
Darvin Ham	27	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	18	-17	17.4	17.2	0.22	16.3	16.5	-0.20
Elden Campbell	17	17	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	13	-7	18.2	17.0	1.26	18.0	16.1	1.93
Corliss Williamson	16	17	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	16	-13	17.5	17.2	0.34	18.0	16.1	1.93
Darko Milicic	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	18.4	17.1	1.33	15.7	16.6	-0.89
Bob Sura	37	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	24	-29	18.1	16.6	1.46	14.8	17.6	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
NYK 63, GSW 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
GSW 75, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%