NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	88		Excitement	3.1 [1181]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): +15.1%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	1.2 [1141]		LVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): -8.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	0.00	0.07	8	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	7	40%	0.00	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Jabari Parker	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.04	12	57%	0.01	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	10	35%	-0.04	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.01	0.01	13	72%	0.15	2	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.19	0.00	0.08	13	75%	0.14	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	9	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	9	39%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	7	37%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	28.4	15.4	22.7	2.4	28.6	124.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +12.4%

UTA +16.8%

UTA +8.8%

UTA +8.9%

UTA +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.1	16.4	14.8	92.6	110.6	107.7
season	14.9	16.1		107.4	108.0
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.0	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.3	14.6	15.6	12.0	14.1
UTA	17.0	14.8	17.1	16.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	35	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.20	6	-22	28	13.7	14.3	-0.68	16.4	16.4	-0.08
Michael Beasley	34	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.37	10	-26	36	13.1	14.6	-1.55	16.6	16.3	0.33
Malcolm Brogdon	59	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-16	16	14.1	14.0	0.09	16.3	16.5	-0.15
Mirza Teletovic	16	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.01	-4	-12	8	16.2	13.6	2.60	15.2	16.6	-1.39
Thon Maker	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-10	4	14.0	14.2	-0.17	16.3	16.5	-0.14
Greg Monroe	47	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-6	-4	14.2	14.0	0.17	16.5	16.3	0.14
Jabari Parker	63	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.15	-18	2	-20	13.7	14.9	-1.19	16.1	17.0	-0.87
Matthew Dellavedova	53	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-1	-14	13.7	14.6	-0.96	16.5	16.3	0.13
Giannis Antetokounmpo	77	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	4	-24	14.4	12.7	1.68	16.8	14.9	1.85
Tony Snell	43	42	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.21	-23	7	-30	14.9	13.4	1.50	16.5	16.4	0.09

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	67	69	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.11	22	-6	28	16.1	17.2	-1.15	13.8	14.8	-0.94
Gordon Hayward	62	63	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.20	21	-5	26	16.2	16.7	-0.48	14.4	13.5	0.83
Joe Ingles	48	48	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.27	23	-7	30	15.5	17.4	-1.93	13.7	14.5	-0.84
George Hill	68	70	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	5	6	16.4	16.3	0.13	14.0	14.4	-0.48
Joe Johnson	54	55	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	8	0	16.0	16.9	-0.91	13.6	14.7	-1.15
Boris Diaw	38	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	7	2	17.2	15.9	1.27	14.1	14.1	-0.01
Alec Burks	47	47	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	12	-8	16.8	16.0	0.85	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Dante Exum	16	14	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	20	-24	16.2	16.4	-0.26	13.2	14.2	-1.02
Jeff Withey	27	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	22	-28	17.2	16.1	1.15	14.8	13.8	0.94
Trey Lyles	29	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	21	-26	16.7	16.3	0.46	15.3	13.5	1.81
Rodney Hood	14	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	19	-22	17.8	16.2	1.62	16.5	13.6	2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 89, OKC 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
SEA 74, BOS 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
LAC 86, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%