NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	87		Excitement	2.7 [1224]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +11.2%
Detroit Pistons	109		Comeback	1.2 [978]		LVP	Baron Davis (GSW): -11.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	60%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Brandan Wright	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	53%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	12	54%	0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	15	47%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	6	71%	-0.00	3	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.05	8	12%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.00	0.03	14	72%	0.12	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.02	0.08	5	90%	0.11	1	-0.02	11	100%	0.03
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	52%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	9	78%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	10	55%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.01	8	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	31.8	15.8	28.8	1.8	27.2	130.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +26.4%

DET +8.3%

DET +2.4%

DET +11.0%

DET +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DET	NBA	GSW	DET	NBA
this game	14.4	16.6	15.4	93.5	117.2	105.7
season	13.5	16.8		109.8	108.8
opponent	15.8	15.1		101.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.5	14.1	15.0	13.0	14.4
DET	15.8	17.2	17.8	15.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	33	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-23	24	12.7	15.2	-2.52	16.1	16.9	-0.76
Brandan Wright	33	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-23	24	14.9	14.0	0.86	16.1	16.9	-0.86
Andris Biedrins	42	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-18	14	16.2	12.8	3.43	16.5	16.7	-0.29
Kelenna Azubuike	14	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-16	10	13.6	14.5	-0.92	16.7	16.6	0.12
DJ Mbenga	33	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-19	16	12.2	15.5	-3.32	15.7	17.1	-1.47
Al Harrington	34	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-9	-4	15.4	13.8	1.57	17.7	16.0	1.68
Austin Croshere	43	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-12	2	13.4	15.1	-1.70	17.0	16.3	0.75
Mickael Pietrus	35	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	-10	-2	11.6	16.0	-4.46	16.2	16.9	-0.73
Stephen Jackson	44	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.18	-16	-6	-10	16.1	12.8	3.25	17.3	16.0	1.37
Matt Barnes	57	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-12	2	13.8	15.3	-1.51	16.0	17.6	-1.63
Monta Ellis	54	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	-7	-8	15.5	12.7	2.82	17.2	15.7	1.50
Baron Davis	43	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.25	-23	1	-24	15.2	13.7	1.50	16.7	16.5	0.17

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	45	47	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.27	27	-5	32	17.8	15.5	2.39	15.1	13.6	1.48
Chauncey Billups	60	59	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.13	21	1	20	16.7	16.5	0.20	14.7	13.7	1.07
Arron Afflalo	50	50	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	2	18	16.8	16.4	0.40	12.3	16.7	-4.36
Jason Maxiell	52	52	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.18	21	1	20	15.7	17.7	-1.96	14.7	13.9	0.77
Tayshaun Prince	56	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	6	10	17.4	15.5	1.87	15.1	13.2	1.85
Richard Hamilton	45	46	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	16	-10	16.6	16.6	-0.07	16.2	12.5	3.69
Jarvis Hayes	35	34	0.04	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	20	-18	15.2	17.5	-2.27	13.6	14.8	-1.21
Amir Johnson	30	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	20	-18	16.2	16.8	-0.66	12.6	15.2	-2.61
Rasheed Wallace	44	42	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	25	-28	16.6	16.7	-0.08	16.0	13.0	3.00
Lindsey Hunter	33	34	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	21	-20	16.5	16.7	-0.20	13.7	14.7	-1.07
Primoz Brezec	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	16.9	16.6	0.38	9.6	15.2	-5.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
BOS 88, IND 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
GSW 86, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%