NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	109		Excitement	5.6 [660]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +6.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	117		Comeback	1.4 [1063]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (LAC): -8.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	9	77%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	72%	0.08	2	-0.02	9	89%	0.04
Stojko Vrankovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	23	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Darrick Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	11	48%	-0.01	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Brent Barry	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	46%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Maurice Taylor	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	10	32%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	14	53%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	17	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Micheal Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	75%	-0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	-0.06	6	39%	-0.02	3	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.01	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	16	59%	0.05	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	29.2	15.5	25.5	2.3	34.5	131.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +17.8%

MIN +1.3%

MIN +15.6%

MIN +10.6%

MIN +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.5	13.6	15.6	106.9	113.6	102.5
season	15.5	14.8		101.0	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.9	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	13.1	17.3	12.6	14.5
MIN	15.1	14.6	13.4	11.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stojko Vrankovic	25	25	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-13	18	15.6	14.1	1.44	16.4	12.7	3.66
Eric Piatkowski	34	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-2	-4	15.6	13.9	1.76	15.2	12.8	2.39
Darrick Martin	69	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-6	4	14.1	15.3	-1.28	12.7	15.4	-2.66
Lorenzen Wright	49	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-3	-2	14.1	14.8	-0.75	12.8	14.3	-1.49
Rodney Rogers	95	96	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-9	10	14.3	17.0	-2.72	13.7	12.9	0.83
James Robinson	34	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-2	-4	14.9	14.2	0.66	15.4	12.7	2.66
Brent Barry	68	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-6	4	13.9	15.6	-1.76	12.8	15.2	-2.39
Maurice Taylor	42	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-5	2	14.1	14.7	-0.64	13.6	13.7	-0.12
Lamond Murray	71	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-4	0	14.2	15.2	-0.99	12.9	15.1	-2.13
Keith Closs	23	25	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	10	-28	17.1	13.7	3.38	14.2	13.4	0.80

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	60	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.06	21	-13	34	13.8	13.4	0.32	15.4	13.2	2.19
Kevin Garnett	71	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-10	28	14.0	12.8	1.14	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Terry Porter	40	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-1	10	15.0	12.8	2.20	13.3	15.2	-1.88
Sam Mitchell	54	52	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	8	-8	12.9	14.5	-1.64	15.5	13.4	2.06
Tom Gugliotta	75	75	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	3	2	14.7	10.9	3.76	14.6	14.2	0.34
Stephon Marbury	80	80	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.07	6	2	4	14.2	11.6	2.60	15.7	10.1	5.53
Doug West	22	21	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	7	-6	10.2	14.6	-4.39	11.0	15.4	-4.31
Chris Carr	53	53	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.29	-5	13	-18	13.0	14.3	-1.22	15.2	13.7	1.49
Reggie Jordan	8	8	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	3	2	15.2	13.5	1.76	14.5	14.5	0.03
Tom Hammonds	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	16	-24	7.9	14.3	-6.41	10.0	15.0	-5.01
Micheal Williams	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	15	-22	6.3	14.3	-8.00	6.8	15.2	-8.44
Stanley Roberts	32	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	13	-18	15.3	12.9	2.48	14.3	14.6	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.72,0.72,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	95.0%
MEM 80, HOU 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1	94.6%
UTA 93, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%