NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	4.8 [861]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +21.8%
San Antonio Spurs	102		Comeback	1.6 [1035]		LVP	Gordan Giricek (UTA): -9.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	11	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Paul Millsap	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	57%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dee Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	16	61%	0.11	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	15	56%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.10	-0.03	0.09	9	64%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
CJ Miles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.06	-0.00	16	69%	0.23	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	17	57%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	12	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.03
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	11	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	31.6	16.3	25.6	2.7	29.3	133.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +46.1%

UTA -0.8%

SAS +3.7%

UTA -0.0%

SAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.4	102.2	110.9	104.5
season	15.9	16.2		107.4	107.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		98.9	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.9	15.2	18.6	15.1	15.6
SAS	15.5	15.4	15.0	17.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dee Brown	5	6	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-11	13	16.0	15.6	0.41	18.8	15.7	3.18
Paul Millsap	21	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-6	3	15.9	15.5	0.38	16.8	15.6	1.23
CJ Miles	10	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-2	-5	17.8	15.3	2.45	14.6	16.0	-1.44
Jarron Collins	16	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	14.5	15.9	-1.35	15.3	16.0	-0.65
Gordan Giricek	26	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	15.4	15.7	-0.27	16.1	15.8	0.30
Derek Fisher	77	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-8	7	15.4	17.1	-1.72	16.0	15.2	0.81
Mehmet Okur	75	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-6	3	15.9	14.5	1.35	16.0	15.3	0.65
Andrei Kirilenko	76	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-5	1	15.5	16.3	-0.78	15.8	15.9	-0.07
Carlos Boozer	70	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	15.5	15.9	-0.38	15.6	16.8	-1.23
Deron Williams	79	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.18	-12	3	-15	15.8	14.7	1.09	15.6	17.5	-1.96

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	61	59	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.01	25	-16	41	16.1	15.4	0.76	15.9	15.0	0.95
Tim Duncan	72	74	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.03	18	-9	27	15.8	16.0	-0.18	16.4	12.2	4.16
Michael Finley	52	50	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.12	21	-12	33	16.6	14.9	1.61	16.4	14.7	1.65
Tony Parker	68	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-6	21	15.8	16.0	-0.25	15.9	14.8	1.11
Fabricio Oberto	35	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	10	-11	15.3	16.2	-0.92	15.2	15.9	-0.65
Jacque Vaughn	38	37	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	7	-5	16.6	15.4	1.23	15.7	15.5	0.19
Robert Horry	18	15	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	4	1	16.9	15.6	1.28	14.1	15.9	-1.85
Beno Udrih	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	16	-23	13.7	15.9	-2.27	9.0	15.8	-6.76
Francisco Elson	40	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.19	-7	16	-23	15.7	16.0	-0.28	15.2	16.0	-0.79
Matt Bonner	8	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.17	-7	16	-23	16.2	15.8	0.43	12.5	15.8	-3.34
Bruce Bowen	39	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.19	-8	17	-25	14.9	16.5	-1.62	14.9	16.2	-1.25
Brent Barry	26	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	20	-31	14.9	16.2	-1.30	14.8	16.0	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, CHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	94.7%
LAC 109, MIN 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.72,0.72,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
MIN 91, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%