NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	96		Excitement	4.8 [829]		MVP	Jason Caffey (CHI): +9.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	86		Comeback	1.5 [839]		LVP	Michael Curry (MIL): -5.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Caffey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	4	85%	0.09	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Toni Kukoc	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	15	57%	0.08	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Michael Jordan	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	20	57%	0.07	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	8	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	10	65%	0.07	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.03	18	64%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	23	46%	0.07	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	75%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	20	48%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.5	27.4	18.5	23.2	2.4	28.5	122.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +26.8%

CHI +16.1%

CHI +4.5%

CHI +0.4%

CHI +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	17.8	14.7	15.6	109.1	96.6	102.5
season	16.2	16.0		105.8	101.1
opponent	15.1	15.8		102.8	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.6	16.8	21.8	18.5	17.8
MIL	16.0	15.1	11.9	15.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	75	75	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.20	12	-2	14	17.6	19.5	-1.90	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Jason Caffey	27	26	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	3	4	18.2	17.7	0.50	15.1	14.6	0.56
Randy Brown	37	37	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	2	6	17.8	17.9	-0.05	15.6	14.1	1.45
Luc Longley	79	78	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	2	6	17.6	19.8	-2.16	14.7	14.9	-0.22
Toni Kukoc	24	25	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	8	-6	16.8	18.2	-1.44	14.5	14.8	-0.28
Dennis Rodman	66	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	3	4	18.2	16.8	1.42	14.8	14.4	0.45
Scottie Pippen	67	68	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	6	-2	17.6	18.6	-1.02	14.7	14.8	-0.12
Rusty LaRue	4	3	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	8	-6	21.5	17.7	3.83	15.7	14.7	0.98
Ron Harper	49	50	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	7	-4	18.0	17.7	0.27	14.6	14.9	-0.32
Scott Burrell	12	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.00	-3	13	-16	20.2	17.5	2.69	12.2	15.2	-3.00

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Pierce	9	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-7	4	14.9	14.7	0.19	18.8	17.7	1.04
Elliot Perry	17	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-8	6	13.7	15.0	-1.25	18.4	17.7	0.71
Andrew Lang	8	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-5	0	16.1	14.6	1.54	16.0	18.1	-2.05
Tyrone Hill	67	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-13	16	14.1	16.5	-2.43	18.3	16.5	1.73
Glenn Robinson	78	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-10	10	13.9	20.5	-6.54	17.7	18.8	-1.12
Ervin Johnson	54	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-3	-4	14.9	14.5	0.34	16.7	19.6	-2.85
Michael Curry	11	11	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	0	-10	20.5	13.9	6.54	18.8	17.7	1.12
Terrell Brandon	72	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-2	-6	15.0	13.7	1.25	17.7	18.4	-0.71
Armen Gilliam	49	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	1	-12	15.2	14.2	0.99	18.9	16.7	2.17
Ray Allen	80	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	14.7	14.9	-0.19	17.7	18.8	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 99, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.2,0.33,0.32,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.06,0,0,0	94.5%
NJN 93, NYK 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.06,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0	94.5%
HOU 98, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0,0	94.4%