NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	99		Excitement	5.7 [664]		MVP	Eddie Robinson (CHH): +7.4%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	1.2 [762]		LVP	Joe Smith (DET): -18.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.10	0.06	-0.05	17	48%	0.10	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Coleman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.05	-0.02	7	44%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Baron Davis	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	11	57%	0.02	6	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	15	53%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	26	53%	0.01	4	-0.10	12	100%	0.07
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	36%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	15	32%	-0.17	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.0	31.5	15.7	24.3	2.5	30.7	129.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +64.3%

DET -0.0%

CHH +0.6%

DET -15.2%

CHH +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	DET	NBA	CHH	DET	NBA
this game	15.4	13.9	15.5	101.0	91.8	100.9
season	15.8	14.3		99.7	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		99.6	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.1	13.5	16.1	18.6	15.4
DET	13.6	14.2	13.4	14.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	85	85	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-4	17	15.5	14.9	0.61	13.7	15.5	-1.76
Elden Campbell	67	66	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.20	9	0	9	15.5	15.4	0.09	14.9	11.9	2.97
Baron Davis	74	72	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	4	1	15.1	16.7	-1.61	13.9	14.0	-0.08
David Wesley	74	74	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	4	1	14.8	17.6	-2.83	13.4	15.5	-2.01
Eddie Robinson	43	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	7	-5	17.5	13.9	3.59	13.9	13.9	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	30	31	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	2	5	16.3	15.1	1.27	14.7	13.6	1.13
Jamaal Magloire	21	22	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	3	3	14.0	15.9	-1.90	12.4	14.4	-1.97
Hersey Hawkins	5	6	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	4	1	14.2	15.5	-1.32	20.3	13.5	6.81
P.J. Brown	76	74	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.26	-6	15	-21	15.3	16.0	-0.71	13.4	15.5	-2.12
Scott Burrell	15	16	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	10	-11	16.0	15.3	0.65	14.2	13.9	0.30

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jud Buechler	15	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-12	15	11.9	14.3	-2.45	16.8	15.2	1.59
Chucky Atkins	76	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-12	15	13.5	15.5	-2.07	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Kornel David	14	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	0	-9	15.1	13.7	1.40	13.4	15.8	-2.38
Dana Barros	14	12	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	0	-9	16.9	13.4	3.49	12.8	15.8	-2.98
Jerry Stackhouse	83	83	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-12	15	13.4	16.7	-3.30	15.6	14.4	1.24
Brian Cardinal	14	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	0	-9	13.0	14.1	-1.10	14.5	15.6	-1.14
Ben Wallace	74	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-10	11	13.4	15.7	-2.29	15.6	15.0	0.59
Joe Smith	69	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-9	9	14.6	12.4	2.17	15.2	16.0	-0.82
Mikki Moore	36	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	2	-13	14.5	13.6	0.93	16.3	15.0	1.39
Mateen Cleaves	19	19	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	3	-15	15.8	13.5	2.30	16.2	15.3	0.88
Corliss Williamson	76	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-4	-1	14.0	13.8	0.21	15.6	14.9	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.2,0.33,0.32,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.06,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, MIL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	94.5%
ORL 125, TOR 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.01,0.01,0	93.8%
SEA 94, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.17,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.8%