inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 88 Excitement4.1 [958] MVPVoshon Lenard (MIA): +6.9%
Detroit Pistons 74 Comeback1.5 [455] LVPJerry Stackhouse (DET): -11.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.011262%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Eric Murdock0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.00-0.03750%0.0300.00475%-0.00
P.J. Brown0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.01-0.01756%0.051-0.02250%-0.00
Keith Askins0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamal Mashburn0.020,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.001148%0.0200.0010%-0.01
Duane Causwell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.01-0.041450%0.064-0.062100%0.01
Dan Majerle-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00550%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Ike Austin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.01-0.03844%0.022-0.042100%0.01
Terry Mills-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.0430%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.000.01950%-0.022-0.03475%-0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charles O'Bannon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Sealy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.03533%-0.011-0.012100%0.01
Grant Long0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.00125%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Joe Dumars0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00557%0.012-0.054100%0.02
Bison Dele0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.01-0.020.041753%-0.011-0.03450%-0.03
Eric Montross0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03542%-0.043-0.02250%-0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.02944%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.0330%-0.071-0.0120%-0.03
Grant Hill0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.13-0.01-0.041542%-0.054-0.05683%0.01
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.02942%-0.073-0.05862%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.92.526.915.826.32.324.6122.3
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +49.5%
MIA +0.9%
DET -4.5%
MIA +5.3%
DET -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADETNBAMIADETNBA
this game17.216.115.6102.385.1102.5
season15.815.9104.7102.8
opponent15.916.2101.199.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.914.816.619.917.2
DET17.315.918.512.916.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard60630.370.130.240.1486217.017.8-0.8016.714.62.03
Tim Hardaway61610.360.140.220.011221016.618.6-1.9616.615.01.56
P.J. Brown49490.330.170.15-0.061311216.717.9-1.2518.113.44.70
Dan Majerle39380.310.190.12-0.01113816.218.0-1.8417.115.31.75
Jamal Mashburn42430.280.220.06-0.01104616.617.8-1.2516.815.41.47
Ike Austin37380.270.230.040.0677015.818.3-2.4515.216.8-1.66
Alonzo Mourning46460.210.29-0.09-0.0695418.116.11.9817.814.23.54
Terry Mills35360.200.30-0.100.14212-1018.316.51.8212.618.6-5.99
Eric Murdock34340.150.35-0.210.06311-818.916.12.7714.317.3-3.00
Keith Askins22220.030.47-0.440.09-216-1819.916.33.5712.917.2-4.32
Duane Causwell550.000.50-0.500.09-317-2016.817.2-0.4313.016.3-3.28

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles O'Bannon78-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-151614.316.2-1.9617.717.20.60
Malik Sealy2120-0.09-0.410.31-0.06-1-131213.516.9-3.3919.816.43.44
Jerome Williams2828-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-4-10615.516.4-0.8216.617.5-0.95
Eric Montross4545-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-7-7017.614.53.0318.016.41.61
Jerry Stackhouse6361-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-9-5-415.019.0-4.0217.416.60.80
Lindsey Hunter5757-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.09-7-7016.814.72.0716.818.0-1.14
Grant Long2827-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.04-9-5-415.016.6-1.6616.017.8-1.76
Bison Dele6363-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.11-7-7016.515.11.3417.217.3-0.19
Grant Hill7069-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.13-8-6-216.713.63.0417.317.00.26
Joe Dumars5352-0.500.00-0.500.06-195-2416.315.70.5916.618.2-1.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 109, HOU 970.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,096.2%
SAS 103, MEM 830.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
NJN 94, TOR 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%