NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	94		Excitement	4.3 [937]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +6.4%
Toronto Raptors	79		Comeback	1.6 [1055]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -12.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.02	19	58%	0.14	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	5	-0.13	2	0%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Jefferies	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	6	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	10	77%	0.08	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	12	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	70%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	28.1	15.8	26.1	2.8	29.2	128.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +13.3%

NJN +15.2%

NJN +13.7%

NJN +5.0%

NJN +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	18.0	15.5	109.3	91.9	101.6
season	15.0	16.2		101.1	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.9		105.1	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.7	13.6	13.1	16.6	15.5
TOR	15.6	19.1	18.8	18.6	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	66	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	3	9	16.8	11.2	5.56	17.9	18.3	-0.43
Jason Kidd	67	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	5	5	15.3	16.2	-0.96	18.5	16.3	2.19
Kenyon Martin	61	61	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	8	-1	15.2	16.1	-0.92	18.3	17.3	0.99
Rodney Rogers	41	41	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	4	7	15.0	15.9	-0.89	18.0	18.0	0.05
Jason Collins	39	40	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	7	1	17.1	14.1	2.90	18.8	17.3	1.45
Lucious Harris	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	9	-3	16.4	14.6	1.79	18.4	17.7	0.75
Kerry Kittles	44	45	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	6	3	14.6	16.4	-1.79	17.7	18.4	-0.75
Aaron Williams	47	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	8	-1	14.1	17.1	-2.90	17.3	18.8	-1.45
Anthony Johnson	19	19	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	10	-5	16.2	15.3	0.96	16.3	18.5	-2.19
Tamar Slay	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	3.0	15.8	-12.76	15.0	18.1	-3.10
Brian Scalabrine	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	3.0	15.8	-12.76	15.0	18.1	-3.10

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	26	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-13	11	17.0	18.5	-1.52	17.2	14.8	2.36
Art Long	13	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-10	5	19.8	17.7	2.06	15.3	15.5	-0.21
Jelani McCoy	39	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-9	3	17.2	18.7	-1.45	14.7	16.1	-1.40
Morris Peterson	70	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-10	5	17.4	20.9	-3.58	15.6	15.0	0.58
Chris Jefferies	46	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-2	-11	18.4	17.6	0.84	15.4	15.5	-0.08
Jerome Williams	61	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-6	-3	17.6	19.0	-1.32	15.6	15.2	0.45
Antonio Davis	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-5	-5	18.6	16.9	1.71	15.9	14.5	1.33
Rafer Alston	58	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-4	-7	18.3	17.5	0.72	14.6	17.2	-2.59
Alvin Williams	58	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.01	-14	-1	-13	18.8	16.5	2.26	15.5	15.4	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 108, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MIN 87, LAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
SAS 123, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%