NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	87		Excitement	4.5 [924]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +16.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	77		Comeback	1.4 [514]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -12.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.02	-0.04	12	54%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.01	21	57%	0.16	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	13	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.05	-0.04	5	42%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	13	43%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Shelden Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.21	0.01	0.06	17	74%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	53%	0.04	1	-0.01	10	60%	-0.02
Alex Acker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	13	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	9	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	16	33%	-0.04	4	-0.09	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.3	26.5	15.5	28.3	2.6	27.2	124.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +46.6%

LAC -0.8%

MIN +25.2%

LAC -23.0%

MIN +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	18.6	15.9	15.5	103.6	92.8	106.4
season	15.8	15.7		104.3	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.1		109.8	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.6	16.8	19.1	22.5	18.6
LAC	16.9	15.9	15.1	15.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	58	60	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	-1	12	17.8	20.4	-2.57	16.0	15.5	0.54
Kevin Ollie	55	56	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	2	6	19.4	17.1	2.24	16.2	15.1	1.12
Mike Miller	73	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	6	-2	19.1	15.5	3.52	15.6	17.5	-1.89
Brian Cardinal	45	44	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	1	8	17.3	20.2	-2.89	17.1	14.5	2.56
Sebastian Telfair	56	55	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	4	2	18.8	18.2	0.64	15.4	16.9	-1.49
Kevin Love	45	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	4	2	19.3	17.8	1.47	16.5	15.1	1.36
Craig Smith	55	54	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	6	-2	18.8	18.3	0.45	15.4	16.8	-1.37
Shelden Williams	33	31	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	8	-6	18.0	19.0	-1.05	14.7	16.6	-1.85

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Acker	21	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-6	2	15.8	15.9	-0.08	16.7	19.3	-2.57
Steve Novak	47	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-7	4	15.8	15.9	-0.14	17.6	20.3	-2.70
Brian Skinner	63	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.29	2	-12	14	15.2	18.0	-2.88	19.6	15.8	3.78
Mike Taylor	44	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-5	0	15.2	16.6	-1.31	19.2	18.0	1.16
Baron Davis	70	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-7	4	15.7	16.5	-0.80	19.0	16.0	3.04
DeAndre Jordan	33	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	8	-26	18.2	14.4	3.79	15.9	20.4	-4.48
Eric Gordon	65	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	-2	-6	15.8	16.0	-0.17	19.4	16.2	3.16
Fred Jones	72	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	1	-12	16.0	14.9	1.10	18.9	17.1	1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
NJN 94, TOR 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
BOS 101, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	95.7%