NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	91		Excitement	6.7 [436]		MVP	Travis Knight (BOS): +14.2%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	1.2 [373]		LVP	Armen Gilliam (MIL): -14.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Pierce	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	92%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tyrone Hill	0.00	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	8	55%	0.08	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	20	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Terrell Brandon	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.08	-0.09	0.03	0.02	13	53%	0.05	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.05
Armen Gilliam	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	12	56%	0.02	4	-0.17	3	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.00	11	54%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	13	55%	0.03	2	-0.07	12	83%	0.10
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	9	60%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dontae' Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	17	54%	-0.05	7	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.5	28.5	14.8	26.2	1.5	42.3	139.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -14.6%

BOS +9.0%

BOS +50.8%

BOS +10.6%

MIL -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	17.2	14.4	15.6	100.0	105.5	102.5
season	16.0	15.1		101.1	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.0	21.2	17.8	13.5	17.2
BOS	14.3	14.0	12.2	17.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	2	-9	17.7	17.0	0.71	14.5	14.4	0.11
Elliot Perry	23	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	1	-7	19.1	16.6	2.47	12.9	14.9	-1.97
Ricky Pierce	41	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-9	13	17.2	17.3	-0.13	14.0	14.8	-0.78
Armen Gilliam	52	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-7	9	17.4	17.0	0.42	14.8	13.8	0.98
Ervin Johnson	45	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	1	-7	17.1	17.4	-0.26	14.1	14.7	-0.58
Tyrone Hill	68	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-4	3	16.6	19.1	-2.47	15.0	12.8	2.17
Terrell Brandon	68	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-6	7	16.6	19.1	-2.47	14.9	12.9	1.97
Michael Curry	43	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	3	-11	18.7	16.0	2.67	13.8	15.0	-1.14
Ray Allen	88	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	16.9	28.0	-11.12	14.4	15.5	-1.14

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	82	84	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	3	-1	14.5	13.1	1.44	16.9	21.1	-4.23
Walter McCarty	53	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-4	13	14.2	14.8	-0.61	18.3	15.8	2.53
Ron Mercer	46	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	3	-1	15.0	13.8	1.16	14.7	20.0	-5.25
Chauncey Billups	49	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	3	-1	15.2	13.4	1.82	17.2	17.3	-0.16
Travis Knight	64	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.45	-6	11	-17	15.3	12.3	3.05	16.7	18.6	-1.87
Bruce Bowen	60	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	6	-7	15.1	13.0	2.18	17.1	17.5	-0.38
Greg Minor	32	32	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	0	5	11.7	15.9	-4.15	19.1	16.2	2.90
Tyus Edney	24	25	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.16	12	-7	19	11.5	15.4	-3.89	18.4	16.8	1.65
Andrew DeClercq	13	13	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	-2	9	14.1	14.5	-0.38	22.9	16.3	6.63
Dana Barros	20	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.23	-7	12	-19	15.0	14.2	0.76	16.2	17.5	-1.37
Dontae' Jones	12	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	5	-5	12.7	14.7	-2.00	16.8	17.3	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.75,0.87,0.94,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 105, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.74,1	94.5%
BOS 91, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.83,1	94.4%
PHI 109, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.79,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	94.1%