NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	109		Excitement	7.3 [392]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +85.8%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	2.0 [644]		LVP	Dario Saric (PHI): -24.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jahlil Okafor	0.53	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.53	0.17	0.39	0.03	19	64%	0.53	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
T.J. McConnell	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.15	0.00	4	87%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	4	80%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nik Stauskas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	9	70%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Justin Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	19	48%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	11	33%	-0.19	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Dario Saric	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.25	-0.06	-0.19	-0.00	17	47%	-0.14	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.24,0.86	0.86	0.14	0.72	0.00	25	65%	0.93	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	17	50%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	6	73%	0.10	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	22%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.12	-0.02	10	48%	0.05	3	-0.19	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.6	32.5	15.7	24.6	2.4	38.2	141.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +94.3%

PHI -6.4%

PHI -31.6%

PHI -8.6%

NYK +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	13.8	14.8	14.8	107.9	110.0	107.7
season	14.5	15.0		101.9	106.6
opponent	14.7	14.4		110.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.1	13.0	15.5	12.8	13.8
NYK	14.8	13.6	13.9	17.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahlil Okafor	58	59	0.33	-0.82	1.15	0.24	3	-4	7	14.6	12.7	1.89	15.7	13.6	2.03
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	22	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-4	7	14.0	13.8	0.27	14.9	14.8	0.11
Justin Anderson	8	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	7	-15	17.5	13.5	3.98	11.5	15.1	-3.62
T.J. McConnell	69	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.39	6	-7	13	12.9	15.8	-2.95	15.8	12.6	3.21
Sergio Rodriguez	32	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	6	-13	15.8	12.9	2.95	13.0	15.6	-2.57
Gerald Henderson	65	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-5	9	13.3	14.8	-1.47	15.1	14.3	0.83
Nik Stauskas	48	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	1	-3	14.4	13.3	1.04	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Dario Saric	85	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.49	6	-7	13	13.2	17.1	-3.91	15.2	13.0	2.20
Robert Covington	84	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	3	-7	13.8	13.8	0.01	14.4	17.1	-2.76
Richaun Holmes	34	32	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.65	-6	5	-11	13.2	14.1	-0.90	14.1	15.2	-1.08

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	48	50	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.71	6	-5	11	15.2	14.5	0.73	14.2	13.5	0.69
Carmelo Anthony	77	77	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	-2	5	15.5	12.6	2.94	13.2	15.7	-2.46
Derrick Rose	76	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	0	1	15.5	12.8	2.68	13.1	15.9	-2.82
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	44	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	-5	11	14.0	15.4	-1.40	15.0	12.8	2.19
Lance Thomas	78	78	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.46	-7	8	-15	14.8	15.0	-0.16	13.7	14.1	-0.39
Courtney Lee	53	53	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.34	-3	4	-7	14.2	15.5	-1.32	13.2	14.5	-1.35
Willy Hernangomez	46	48	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	-2	5	15.6	14.2	1.44	14.1	13.6	0.48
Brandon Jennings	24	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	1	-1	12.8	15.5	-2.68	15.9	13.1	2.82
Kyle O'Quinn	54	52	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.19	-4	5	-9	14.2	15.6	-1.44	13.9	13.8	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.79,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 118, HOU 136	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ATL 96, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
LAC 88, ATL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%