NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	91		Excitement	4.6 [863]		MVP	Dennis Scott (DAL): +8.7%
Dallas Mavericks	105		Comeback	1.0 [101]		LVP	John Starks (NYK): -17.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buck Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	11	70%	0.09	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Pete Myers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	13	71%	0.08	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	56%	-0.01	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Allan Houston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	17	49%	-0.03	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
John Starks	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.05	0.04	19	39%	-0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	-0.06	12	50%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	70%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.01	0.08	9	87%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.05	22	60%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	16	55%	-0.02	5	-0.07	12	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	24.3	15.7	27.3	2.3	32.6	126.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +15.2%

DAL +8.7%

DAL +2.6%

DAL +24.9%

NYK -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	14.9	16.4	15.6	98.9	114.1	102.5
season	15.7	15.8		100.4	98.3
opponent	15.5	16.3		104.6	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.9	14.8	15.2	12.7	14.9
DAL	13.1	18.6	16.1	18.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buck Williams	34	34	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.16	11	-25	36	16.0	14.3	1.71	17.0	16.1	0.88
Pete Myers	4	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-10	6	6.2	15.3	-9.03	14.0	16.5	-2.49
Chris Dudley	7	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-10	6	13.6	15.0	-1.43	19.2	16.1	3.11
Chris Childs	62	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-11	8	14.5	15.8	-1.30	16.3	16.5	-0.20
Charlie Ward	60	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-17	20	14.5	15.5	-0.98	17.0	15.4	1.60
Chris Mills	27	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-6	-2	16.2	14.4	1.83	17.0	16.1	0.86
Patrick Ewing	73	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	0	-14	15.0	14.6	0.33	16.4	16.6	-0.21
John Starks	67	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-2	-10	14.7	15.5	-0.81	16.6	16.0	0.62
Allan Houston	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.06	-19	5	-24	14.2	17.4	-3.23	16.2	17.0	-0.83
Charles Oakley	55	54	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.01	-20	6	-26	16.4	12.7	3.66	15.0	18.4	-3.42

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Scott	79	80	0.73	-0.23	0.95	-0.06	27	-13	40	16.4	16.7	-0.33	15.5	10.5	5.05
Hubert Davis	70	71	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-1	16	16.7	15.4	1.32	14.6	15.9	-1.25
Michael Finley	92	92	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.08	14	0	14	16.4	0.0	16.41	14.9	0.0	14.89
A.C. Green	67	68	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	-2	18	16.4	16.5	-0.09	14.3	16.6	-2.35
Khalid Reeves	72	74	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	10	-6	16.7	15.3	1.36	14.5	16.4	-1.93
Erick Strickland	47	44	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	11	-8	15.3	17.5	-2.19	15.4	14.4	0.95
Kevin Ollie	6	7	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	11	-8	12.7	16.7	-4.01	21.4	14.4	7.08
Samaki Walker	20	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	19	-24	16.9	16.3	0.69	15.0	14.9	0.14
Chris Anstey	7	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	21	-28	19.9	16.1	3.73	9.5	15.3	-5.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.82,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 79, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
ORL 88, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
LAL 85, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%