NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	85		Excitement	4.5 [931]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +20.2%
Miami Heat	101		Comeback	1.0 [778]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -13.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronny Turiaf	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	10	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	60%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	9	39%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	17	37%	-0.08	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.05	0.03	20	71%	0.28	4	-0.08	16	94%	0.04
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	3	112%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	53%	0.04	3	-0.05	9	56%	-0.02
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	7	79%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	3.5	35.4	19.4	27.9	3.8	30.4	150.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +40.0%

MIA +7.4%

LAL -0.0%

MIA +3.8%

LAL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIA	NBA	LAL	MIA	NBA
this game	15.8	14.6	15.4	90.4	106.3	104.5
season	15.3	16.0		106.3	102.4
opponent	15.6	14.9		104.3	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.8	14.6	14.7	17.3	15.8
MIA	12.0	14.8	16.0	16.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	27	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.26	7	-23	30	18.1	14.9	3.19	15.3	14.4	0.91
Jordan Farmar	37	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-21	26	17.4	14.9	2.49	15.8	13.9	1.83
Maurice Evans	42	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-15	14	16.0	15.7	0.33	15.7	13.8	1.96
Andrew Bynum	12	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-10	4	18.2	15.5	2.76	14.0	14.7	-0.73
Ronny Turiaf	45	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-7	-2	13.6	17.9	-4.30	13.0	16.1	-3.06
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-12	8	14.9	16.6	-1.72	13.3	15.8	-2.51
Kwame Brown	37	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-15	14	17.8	14.6	3.20	16.7	13.2	3.48
Brian Cook	35	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-6	-4	17.0	15.1	1.89	15.4	14.2	1.15
Smush Parker	57	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.21	-21	5	-26	14.9	17.4	-2.49	13.9	15.8	-1.83
Luke Walton	61	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	5	-26	15.0	17.4	-2.35	14.0	15.8	-1.75
Kobe Bryant	74	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	3	-22	15.6	16.8	-1.28	14.7	14.2	0.54

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	83	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-4	24	14.4	16.1	-1.65	15.9	15.3	0.62
Jason Williams	46	45	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	1	14	15.1	14.2	0.90	16.9	14.9	2.01
Gary Payton	54	52	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	4	8	14.0	15.5	-1.57	15.6	16.1	-0.50
Udonis Haslem	61	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	0	16	14.5	14.9	-0.42	14.5	18.3	-3.80
Alonzo Mourning	42	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	7	2	15.6	13.9	1.71	17.2	14.7	2.44
Michael Doleac	37	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	14	-12	13.9	15.1	-1.23	16.3	15.6	0.71
Dorell Wright	38	39	0.15	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	12	-8	14.5	14.7	-0.24	15.5	16.1	-0.52
Jason Kapono	37	37	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	11	-6	14.5	14.7	-0.21	15.6	16.0	-0.45
Antoine Walker	26	26	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	15	-14	14.0	14.9	-0.88	17.7	15.1	2.61
James Posey	50	49	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	17	-18	15.6	13.6	1.98	15.0	16.8	-1.80
Chris Quinn	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	24.0	14.5	9.46	7.0	16.0	-9.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 83, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DET 86, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
VAN 103, SEA 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.95,1,0.98,1,1	95.3%